What would make this market resolve Yes?

The market resolves Yes if Anthropic shares are listed on a public exchange and begin trading by the stated deadline.

What happens if Anthropic is acquired by a public company?

Under the market rules, an acquisition by a company that is already public causes the market to resolve No immediately.

When does the Anthropic IPO market resolve?

The market’s outcome is based on whether trading begins by December 15, 2026. The listed resolution date is July 1, 2027.

Part of: Anthropic IPO by __?

Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?

Q: What does the Anthropic IPO prediction market ask?

It asks whether Anthropic shares will be listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 p.m. ET on December 15, 2026.

This Polymarket market asks whether Anthropic shares will begin trading on a public securities exchange by 11:59 p.m. ET on December 15, 2026. A current odds quote isn’t included in the supplied market data; the page reports $1,058 in tracked smart money and one signal, including an alert that a profitable serial trader added to Yes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,702.

Categories: Finance, IPO, Anthropic IPO, Anthropic, IPOs, Dario

Notable Trades

Serial trader with 92% wins

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with a 92% win rate and $3.2M profit placed a fresh $2,130 bet on Yes at 71¢.

This bettor has won 92% of 1,919 resolved trades and is up $3.2M.
They placed a fresh $2,130 bet on Yes at 71¢.
The wallet has traded across 866 events, making this more notable than an isolated large bet.

$3,867 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Serial trader with 92% wins

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with a 92% win rate and $3.2M profit placed a fresh $2,130 bet on Yes at 71¢.

This bettor has won 92% of 1,919 resolved trades and is up $3.2M.
They placed a fresh $2,130 bet on Yes at 71¢.
The wallet has traded across 866 events, making this more notable than an isolated large bet.

$2,130 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Seven-wallet funded cluster

A seven-wallet shared-funder cluster is associated with a $1,648 Yes position that accounted for 81% of the market’s 24-hour volume, though the wallet’s record does not clearly show an edge at this entry price.

Seven wallets share a funder, with $1,648 in associated activity on this outcome.
The $1,648 Yes buy was about 81% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
The trader has 248 resolved bets and is up $124,503, but its 65% win rate does not clearly beat the average winning price of 86¢.

$1,648 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial trader adds to Yes

A consistently profitable, highly active trader added about $1,058 to an existing Yes position in a market with only $18 of 24-hour volume, though their historical win rate does not establish a strong edge at this price.

A trader with 514 resolved bets is up $38,589 overall and added about $1,058 to their existing Yes position.
The bet was nearly 59 times the market’s $18 in 24-hour volume, making it a notable addition in a quiet market.
Their 60% win rate is not compelling against an average winning entry price of 74¢, so the track record alone is not a strong edge signal.

$1,058 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

0x5a7b...e9eb — No, $12,199 (64% win rate)
0x3a8a...7699 — Yes, $11,921 (64% win rate)
0xae89...90b8 — Yes, $6,316 (93% win rate)
0xc851...cd2a — Yes, $5,650 (52% win rate)
0xa108...abd3 — Yes, $5,326 (95% win rate)
0x1a94...db1d — No, $4,600 (88% win rate)
0x82aa...fe2f — No, $4,171
0x2824...f3f5 — No, $4,154
0xa676...1c22 — No, $4,000 (44% win rate)
0x6974...d0cb — No, $3,988

Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?

Notable Trades

Serial trader with 92% wins

Serial trader with 92% wins

Seven-wallet funded cluster

Profitable serial trader adds to Yes

Top Holders

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Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?

Notable Trades