Part of: World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,680.
Categories: 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
91% winner fades Argentina
Sharp wallet with a 91% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Argentina No at 63¢ despite only a modest single-trade size.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $7,937 lifetime.
- They bought Argentina to miss the final at 63¢, taking the side currently favored by the market.
- The wallet has beaten average implied odds by a wide margin across 23 resolved positions.
$1,260 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
91% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a 91% resolved win rate and +$36k lifetime P&L despite the alert’s weak new-wallet signal.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $36k lifetime.
- They put $2.9k on Argentina not reaching the World Cup final at 60¢.
- The wallet has been flagged 5 times before, suggesting a repeat high-conviction bettor.
$2,254 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Sharp World Cup cross-market bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved win rate is taking a No position as part of a broader 5-market World Cup thesis.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $169k lifetime.
- They have positioned across 5 related World Cup markets, totaling $12.6k in exposure.
- Buying No at 61¢ suggests they see Argentina missing the final as meaningfully underpriced.
$1,220 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
91% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a 91% resolved win rate and +$36k lifetime P&L despite the alert’s weak new-wallet signal.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $36k lifetime.
- They put $2.9k on Argentina not reaching the World Cup final at 60¢.
- The wallet has been flagged 5 times before, suggesting a repeat high-conviction bettor.
$2,868 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable new repeat bettor
A 10-day-old repeat large bettor with early profits is adding another $2.5k Yes position on Argentina reaching the World Cup final.
- This 10-day-old wallet is already up $4,223 after 6 positions.
- It has been flagged 7 times for large bets, totaling $17,619 in notable activity.
- Entry at 41¢ follows a 13-point weekly move, suggesting continued conviction on Argentina.
$2,502 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
96% winner buying Yes
Sharp bettor with a 96% resolved-bet win rate is buying Argentina to reach the World Cup final at 40¢.
- This bettor has won 53 of 55 resolved trades and is up $3,489 lifetime.
- They are buying at 40¢, implying they see Argentina’s final odds as meaningfully higher than the market.
- The market has momentum, with Yes up 11 points over the past week.
$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%
89% winner buying No
Sharp wallet with an 89% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying No on Argentina reaching the 2026 World Cup final.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $16.7K lifetime.
- They are taking the other side of recent Argentina momentum after Yes rose 11% this week.
- Entry at 61¢ implies they see Argentina missing the final as meaningfully underpriced.
$1,098 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable 79% win-rate bettor
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with a 79% long-run win rate bought Argentina Yes at 38¢ despite only a modest single-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $80.7k lifetime.
- They have a large 1,150-bet track record, beating average market odds by about 19 points.
- Entry at 38¢ implies a strong upside view on Argentina reaching the final.
$1,075 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
93% winner buying NO
Elite sharp wallet with a 93% resolved win rate and $720k lifetime profit bought Argentina No at 67¢, supported by a long history of successful cross-market trading.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $720k lifetime.
- They have traded across 926 events with nearly $1.9M deployed, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Buying No at 67¢ goes against Argentina’s recent 1-week price rise, a notable fade from a proven wallet.
$3,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Coordinated Argentina Yes flow
Three-wallet one-sided flow is adding to a broader Argentina World Cup thesis, with linked-wallet activity and recent price momentum supporting the Yes side despite mixed wallet track records.
- Three wallets put $7.1k on the same side, all effectively betting Argentina reaches the final.
- Two wallets are linked by the same funder, and this cluster has shown up in prior runs.
- The Yes price is already up 6.2 points today, and one wallet is adding to a much larger open Yes position.
$7,063 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xf92a...80a7 — Outcome 10627737, $71,330
- 0x66d5...9e9f — Outcome 10627737, $25,042 (90% win rate)
- 0x5fd8...ce32 — Outcome 10627737, $24,051 (89% win rate)
- 0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 10627737, $21,887 (72% win rate)
- 0xa661...ef0e — Outcome 10627737, $18,605 (82% win rate)
- 0x2dfa...1ab9 — Outcome 10627737, $17,545
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 10627737, $13,750 (81% win rate)
- 0x8a65...25ad — Outcome 10627737, $12,825
- 0xe8c2...3048 — Outcome 10627737, $12,267 (91% win rate)
- 0xc7fb...e5fd — Outcome 10627737, $10,282 (70% win rate)
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