This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $46.6k lifetime. They are taking the contrarian No side after Yes jumped 18 points in the past day. Entry at 25¢ implies a 4x payout if Australia misses the top 5.

Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,882.

Categories: Culture, Music, Awards, Eurovision

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume serial cross-market bettor bought Yes at 82¢ amid strong upward momentum, though the stake is modest for this liquid market.

This bettor has a huge track record: 22,320 resolved bets, 70% winners, and $163K in lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader with over $1M deployed across 280 events.
Australia’s top-5 odds have jumped 33 points this week, and this buy adds with the trend at 82¢.

$1,153 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

82% winner buying No

Sharp wallet with an 82% win rate and +$46.6k lifetime P&L is buying No against a market that has recently moved strongly toward Yes.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $46.6k lifetime.
They are taking the contrarian No side after Yes jumped 18 points in the past day.
Entry at 25¢ implies a 4x payout if Australia misses the top 5.

$1,430 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Fresh wallet momentum bet

A brand-new wallet made a meaningful first bet on Australia top-5 Eurovision amid strong recent upward price momentum, suggesting fresh conviction despite no track record.

A wallet created 11 minutes earlier put $1.3K on Yes as its first notable position.
The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 18.5 points today and 22.5 points this week.
The bet was made at 79¢, implying confidence despite the current price sitting slightly lower at 76¢.

$1,300 on Yes