Part of: Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
This prediction market asks whether Bev Craig will become the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of the election scheduled for July 30, 2026. PolySpotter tracks $19,959 in smart money activity and 1 recent signal for this market, including a “Three-wallet political push” alert. If the official result is not known by June 30, 2027, the market resolves to “Other.”
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $19,959.
Categories: manchester, Main Election, United Kingdom, Politics, Elections, Manchester Mayoral, Global Elections, Greater Manchester, UK Labour Leadership
Notable Trades
Three-wallet political push
Three wallets bought nearly $20k of Yes in a niche political market amid a 17x volume spike, with two profitable wallets participating.
- Three wallets bought nearly $20k of Yes, a large one-sided move for this mayoral market.
- Volume jumped 17x versus the historical average, suggesting fresh attention on a usually quieter race.
- Two participating wallets are profitable lifetime, including one up $88.6k across 447 resolved bets.
$19,959 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $43,004
- 0xb1ca...1705 — No, $20,079 (59% win rate)
- 0xfaf6...cc47 — Yes, $17,377 (96% win rate)
- 0xfb51...742d — Yes, $11,189 (70% win rate)
- 0x6640...2202 — Yes, $10,982 (67% win rate)
- 0x74f1...16a8 — No, $9,613 (43% win rate)
- 0xd24b...ef76 — Yes, $7,512 (70% win rate)
- 0xe154...0b7f — No, $7,031 (10% win rate)
- 0xf92a...a517 — Yes, $6,960 (92% win rate)
- 0x4d01...1645 — Yes, $5,096 (63% win rate)
