Part of: Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $19,959.

Categories: manchester, Main Election, United Kingdom, Politics, Elections, Manchester Mayoral, Global Elections, Greater Manchester, UK Labour Leadership

Notable Trades

Three-wallet political push

Three wallets bought nearly $20k of Yes in a niche political market amid a 17x volume spike, with two profitable wallets participating.

  • Three wallets bought nearly $20k of Yes, a large one-sided move for this mayoral market.
  • Volume jumped 17x versus the historical average, suggesting fresh attention on a usually quieter race.
  • Two participating wallets are profitable lifetime, including one up $88.6k across 447 resolved bets.

$19,959 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10390946, $44,002
  2. 0x1a39...dcb5 — Outcome 10390946, $5,250
  3. 0x0d62...27e0 — Outcome 35318756, $2,000 (78% win rate)
  4. 0xe8a2...560e — Outcome 10390946, $1,900
  5. 0x3735...ab5e — Outcome 10390946, $1,877
  6. 0xb35e...7cc4 — Outcome 10390946, $1,721
  7. 0xae4e...3507 — Outcome 10390946, $1,555
  8. 0x2e8e...5b53 — Outcome 10390946, $1,250
  9. 0x9372...3b1a — Outcome 10390946, $1,000
  10. 0x13ac...2c1a — Outcome 10390946, $930

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

ResolvedGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner$19,959 tracked1 signalmanchesterMain ElectionUnited KingdomPoliticsElectionsManchester MayoralGlobal ElectionsGreater ManchesterUK Labour Leadership

The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).

Price History — “Yes”
102¢
99¢
96¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

78d ago

$19,959 on Yes at 83¢