Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in May?
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $145,343.
Categories: Bitcoin, Monthly, Hit Price, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
90% crypto bettor cluster
Sharp 90% lifetime winner is buying No, backed by linked-wallet and cross-market positioning despite modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $3,830 on $133k invested.
- Three linked wallets share the same funder and have appeared together in prior runs.
- The wallet is positioned across 3 related Bitcoin markets with $10.3k total exposure.
$1,351 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable serial cross-market crypto trader is re-entering No on a BTC dip market while also positioning across several related markets.
- This bettor is up $509k lifetime across nearly $19.8M traded.
- They have traded 99 markets across 69 crypto events, showing a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- They are backing No at 90¢, betting Bitcoin stays above $70,000 through May.
$2,820 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable BTC cross-market trader
Profitable high-volume crypto trader is re-entering No and has a broader cross-market position across related Bitcoin dip markets.
- This trader is up $509K lifetime across 1,594 resolved bets.
- They are active across 5 related markets with $35.6K positioned on the same event.
- They previously held a larger No position at 75¢ and are now re-entering at 86¢.
$3,104 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial crypto trader
A profitable serial crypto-market trader is adding a conservative No position amid a 37.9x volume spike and broader cross-market positioning.
- This bettor has traded 2,508 resolved markets, wins 59% of them, and is up about $289K lifetime.
- They are active across 7 related markets with about $90K positioned, suggesting a broader Bitcoin thesis.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 37.9x above its historical average.
$4,271 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial crypto bettor
Profitable high-volume crypto bettor is re-entering a No position near month-end, with correlated cross-market positioning and a 38x volume spike supporting the thesis.
- This bettor has won 60% of 1,594 resolved bets and is up about $510k lifetime.
- They have built a $40.8k thesis across 5 related markets, all around the same Bitcoin event.
- Volume is running 38x above normal, and buying No at 86¢ suggests confidence Bitcoin avoids $70k through month-end.
$4,210 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable crypto thesis trader
Profitable serial cross-market crypto trader is effectively buying Yes on a BTC dip market after odds moved sharply higher this week.
- This bettor has won 67% of 1,062 resolved trades and is up $246k lifetime.
- They repeatedly build cross-market theses, with 57 events and $1.54M traded in this pattern.
- They are effectively buying Yes around 19¢ while the market has moved up 11.7 points in the past day.
$1,204 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Sharp crypto dip bettor
Sharp wallet with 80% wins and strong positive P&L is effectively buying Yes at 25¢ on a Bitcoin dip market with strong recent momentum toward Yes.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $5.2K lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 25¢ after the market moved 16 points toward Yes in the past day.
- Their average winning entry is just 20¢, suggesting a track record of finding underpriced long shots.
$1,052 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable crypto cluster buying Yes
Three profitable wallets are aligned on Yes amid a sharp volume spike, cross-market crypto positioning, and a 16-point one-day move toward Yes.
- Three wallets put $8.4k on Yes, including bettors who win 87% and 76% of resolved trades.
- One wallet has traded 6 related markets with $83k total, suggesting a broader Bitcoin downside thesis.
- Market activity is heating up: volume is 21x normal and Yes is up 16 points in the past day.
$8,414 on Yes
Profitable BTC cross-market regular
Profitable serial cross-market crypto trader is buying No as part of a broader $32.5k Bitcoin dip-level thesis.
- This bettor is up $425k across 1,586 resolved trades.
- They are betting across 4 related Bitcoin markets with $32.5k total exposure.
- This No entry was around 86¢ and has already moved to about 90¢.
$1,401 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying No on a BTC dip market as part of a larger multi-market thesis.
- This wallet is up $425K lifetime across 1,586 resolved bets.
- They have traded 98 markets across 69 related events, showing a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- This No buy is part of $35.6K positioned across four related BTC markets.
$4,452 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 14555160, $70,846 (99% win rate)
- 0x3526...aaba — Outcome 14555160, $59,232
- 0xb50c...215b — Outcome 14555160, $51,094 (76% win rate)
- 0xa55c...74ba — Outcome 14555160, $50,000
- 0x9e4e...c0f5 — Outcome 14555160, $42,154
- 0xee23...caca — Outcome 14555160, $34,084
- 0x30e4...5102 — Outcome 14555160, $21,577 (52% win rate)
- 0x6db9...4ab5 — Outcome 14555160, $17,295 (85% win rate)
- 0xaacb...90cb — Outcome 14555160, $16,193 (100% win rate)
- 0xb619...5068 — Outcome 14555160, $14,109 (51% win rate)
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