What is the Bitcoin $110,000 by 2026 prediction market?

This market lets traders bet on whether Bitcoin will trade at or above $110,000 before the end of 2026, using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high prices as the resolution source.

When does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?

The market resolves Yes immediately if Bitcoin reaches a Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high of $110,000 or more between Nov. 24, 2025 at 14:00 ET and Dec. 31, 2026 at 23:59 ET. If that never happens, it resolves No on or after Jan. 1, 2027 UTC.

What price source determines whether Bitcoin hits $110K?

Resolution is based on Binance BTC/USDT prices, specifically the final High value of 1-minute candles shown on Binance’s BTC/USDT chart.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking for this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,392 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal for this market. Recent alerts include sharp bettors buying both Yes and No, as well as signals about traders fading a Bitcoin rally.

How can I use this market to understand Bitcoin odds?

Prediction market prices can reflect trader expectations for whether Bitcoin will hit $110,000 by the deadline. Watching odds alongside smart money alerts can help show whether informed traders are leaning toward a breakout or betting the target is too high.

Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026, based on any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high meeting or exceeding that level. The market resolves Yes immediately if the target is hit between Nov. 24, 2025 at 14:00 ET and Dec. 31, 2026 at 23:59 ET; otherwise it resolves No after the deadline. PolySpotter is tracking $1,392 in smart money activity across 1 signal, with recent alerts showing both sharp buying and fading around the BTC rally.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,236.

Categories: Bitcoin, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Crypto

Notable Trades

83% sharp fading Bitcoin rally

Sharp 83% win-rate wallet with large lifetime profits is fading Bitcoin reaching $110k by buying the equivalent of No at 86¢.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $443k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 33 events with $739k tracked volume.
Selling Yes at 14¢ is equivalent to buying No at 86¢, backing Bitcoin not reaching $110k by the deadline.

$1,392 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable sharp buying NO

Sharp, highly profitable wallet with an 83% resolved win rate is taking the bearish side on BTC reaching $110k by end-2026.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $444k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $738k deployed across 33 events.
Selling Yes at 15¢ is equivalent to buying No at 85¢, backing Bitcoin not to hit $110k by the deadline.

$1,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable cross-market crypto bettor

A profitable cross-market crypto bettor is reducing No exposure, effectively backing Yes at 26¢ across a broader BTC price thesis.

This bettor has won 68% of resolved trades and is up about $9k lifetime.
They have placed $14.5k across 4 related BTC markets, suggesting a broader bullish price thesis.
Selling No at 74¢ is equivalent to backing Yes at 26¢, with the market up 4 points today.

$2,961 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable cross-market BTC buyer

A modestly profitable wallet is building a cross-market bullish Bitcoin thesis, with this $4.5k trade larger than the market's recent daily volume.

This bettor is up $8.9k lifetime and is positioning across four related Bitcoin markets.
The $4.5k trade was about the same size as this market’s entire recent daily volume.
Selling No at 76¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 24¢, a bet that Bitcoin touches $110k before 2027.

$4,549 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

80% winner buying NO

Surface despite weak market signal because the buyer has an 80% resolved-bet win rate across 148 markets and positive lifetime P&L.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades, with 118 wins across 148 markets.
They are up $15.7K lifetime while deploying nearly $1M, suggesting a real but modest edge.
They bought No at 76¢, betting Bitcoin will not touch $110K by the end of 2026.

$2,494 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable BTC target bettor

Proven profitable wallet with a 77% resolved win rate and strong edge is adding a modest but meaningful Yes bet across related BTC target markets.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $43.5K lifetime.
Their past wins came at average odds of 38%, suggesting a strong record of finding mispriced bets.
They are building a related BTC thesis across 2 markets, entering this Yes at 31¢.

$1,648 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

81% winner buying NO

A profitable 81% winner is taking the No side, with related positioning across two markets in the same event.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $227k lifetime.
They have $3.5k positioned across two related markets, suggesting a broader bearish thesis.
Selling Yes at 24¢ is equivalent to buying No at 76¢.

$1,192 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp crypto bettor buys Yes

Proven profitable wallet with an 84% win rate is making a five-figure Yes bet and has related cross-market positioning on the same Bitcoin thesis.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $242K lifetime.
They put $12.5K on Yes at 25¢, a large position relative to recent market activity.
The wallet is also positioned across a related Bitcoin market, suggesting a broader bullish thesis.

$12,501 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%