Part of: 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Assembly By-Election Winner

Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,018.

Categories: Canada, Politics, Elections, by election, Global Elections, Main Election

Notable Trades

Profitable serial politics bettor

A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to a No position in a thin niche political market with price movement already in their favor.

This bettor is profitable across 1,109 resolved trades, up about $43K lifetime.
They added to No in a thin market; this trade was about 75% of the past day’s volume.
The price has already moved their way from a 75¢ entry to around 80¢.

$1,018 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 37871397, $3,005
0xe8a2...560e — Outcome 10327981, $642
0xf81a...eba3 — Outcome 10327981, $615
0x05a4...1e85 — Outcome 10327981, $427
0x6f67...102c — Outcome 10327981, $403
0xc676...f35c — Outcome 10327981, $201
0xc518...2594 — Outcome 10327981, $133
0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 10327981, $130 (58% win rate)
0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 10327981, $100
0xdd54...b332 — Outcome 10327981, $100

Related Theses

Washington Nationals will defeat Athletics

Covers 1 related market

Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?

Resolved2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Assembly By-Election Winner$1,018 tracked1 signalCanadaPoliticsElectionsby electionGlobal ElectionsMain Election

A by-election for the Prince Edward Island Legislative Assembly District 16 (Cornwall-Meadowbank) is currently scheduled to be held on July 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections PEI (https://www.electionspei.ca/).