Part of: Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of at least one Boeing aircraft by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase or order, or has definitively agreed to purchase or order, at least one Boeing aircraft. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase or order announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the aircraft is delivered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.

Categories: Trump-Xi Summit, Jinping, China, Politics, Trump, Xi

Notable Trades

Profitable event trader buying No

A profitable 115-bet wallet bought No after a major price-impact move, though the entry is already worse than current market odds.

  • This bettor has a solid 115-bet history and is up about $9k lifetime.
  • They put $2,000 on No while the No price broke far above its prior range.
  • This is part of a small cross-market thesis, with $3,500 traded across 2 related markets.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0x41f9...dd2b Yes, $7,140
  2. 0xddb1...ea72 No, $5,211 (64% win rate)
  3. 0xd426...334a No, $3,820 (39% win rate)
  4. 0x12a2...0e71 No, $3,818 (60% win rate)
  5. 0xb57a...b8c3 Yes, $2,810 (76% win rate)
  6. 0x5d2f...4adb No, $1,514
  7. 0xc8ab...6418 Yes, $1,252 (47% win rate)
  8. 0xeec5...b6fe Yes, $1,243 (83% win rate)
  9. 0x2606...aadd No, $1,100 (67% win rate)
  10. 0x64d9...46e6 No, $1,000 (62% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 8 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

US-Iran deal in late May

Covers 2 related markets

China skips major purchases

Covers 2 related markets

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

6dTrump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?$2,000 tracked1 signalTrump-Xi SummitJinpingChinaPoliticsTrumpXi
Yes
30¢
No
70¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of at least one Boeing aircraft by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase or order, or has definitively agreed to purchase or order, at least one Boeing aircraft. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase or order announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the aircraft is delivered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
70¢
41¢
12¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

2h ago

$2,000 on No at 68¢

68¢70¢2¢

Related Theses