Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,408.
Categories: China, Geopolitics, Politics, Taiwan
Notable Trades
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$8,729 | Wallet win rate: 77%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$1,679 | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0x9c96...8708 — Yes, $16,736 (100% win rate)
- 0x74bf...2a6e — No, $13,113 (70% win rate)
- 0xb886...81b3 — Yes, $8,967
- 0xdd1d...bbf0 — No, $2,658 (81% win rate)
- 0x73d2...f9b7 — No, $2,000 (76% win rate)
- 0x2814...5596 — Yes, $1,668
- 0x585d...19b6 — No, $1,649
- 0x11d3...7471 — No, $1,327
- 0x6779...2ff6 — No, $1,286
- 0x3625...bdee — No, $1,209
