Part of: Daegu Mayoral Election Winner
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $69,904.
Categories: Global Elections, Elections, Main Election, South Korea, Politics
Notable Trades
78% winner buys Yes dip
Profitable 78% win-rate wallet bought $8.5k of Yes after a major volume spike and apparent shift from a prior No position.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $90k lifetime.
- They bought $8.5k of Yes at 71¢ after closing a prior No position, suggesting a fresh shift in view.
- Market volume spiked 74x while the price is down 16% in a day, making this look like a conviction dip-buy.
$8,485 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
New wallet re-enters Yes
A brand-new wallet with repeated large flagged bets is re-entering a political election position after previously putting $26.4k into the same side.
- A 1-day-old wallet has already made 10 large flagged bets totaling $41.9k.
- This is a fresh $7.3k Yes buy after previously investing $26.4k on the same outcome.
- The trade entered at 69¢ and the market has already moved to about 73¢.
$7,259 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable bettor buying Yes
Profitable 78% winner is making a net long-Yes position on Daegu mayor despite mixed hedging activity.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $81.7K lifetime.
- They put $8.7K into this election market, with most of the money buying Yes around 66–67¢.
- The market is liquid, but Yes has fallen 18 points in a day, so this looks like a sharp bettor buying the dip.
$8,711 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable sharp buying dip
Sharp wallet with a 78% resolved-bet win record and $81.7k profit is taking a net Yes position despite mixed hedging activity.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $81.7k lifetime.
- They bought about $5.3k of Yes around 66–67¢ while the market is down 18 points on the day.
- The wallet has been flagged repeatedly and is active across related election markets.
$7,115 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable bettor buying dip
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate and +$81.7k P&L is buying Yes after a major price drop in a liquid political market.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $81.7k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 60¢ after the market fell about 26 points in the past day.
- The wallet has been flagged 5 times before, suggesting repeat high-conviction activity.
$1,923 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
94% winner buying favorite
Surfaced due to the sharp-wallet override: a 94% lifetime winner with positive P&L is buying Yes and has related cross-market exposure in the same election event.
- This bettor has won 94% of resolved trades and is up about $6.1k lifetime.
- They bought $3.1k of Yes at 86¢, backing the current favorite in a liquid election market.
- The wallet has also positioned across 2 related markets in this same event, suggesting a broader thesis.
$3,092 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable serial election trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 86¢ amid a major volume spike and related positioning in the same election event.
- This bettor has won 67% of 1,142 resolved trades and is up $231K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $747K deployed across 137 events.
- This buy came during a 188x volume spike, with related event positioning totaling about $20.5K.
$5,519 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%
Profitable serial election bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought $11.2k of Yes and has $26.2k positioned across this election event.
- This bettor is up $231k lifetime across more than 1,100 resolved trades.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $736k bet across 137 events and a 67% win record.
- This is an $11.2k buy at 87¢, part of $26.2k positioned across the same election event.
$11,183 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%
Profitable serial event trader
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader is adding an $8.9k Yes bet on a political election favorite despite already high odds.
- This bettor has 1,114 resolved bets, wins 67% of them, and is up $220k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 132 events with nearly $695k in tracked activity.
- The $8.9k buy at 89¢ backs the favorite in a market that is up 6 points over the past week.
$8,900 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume trader with a long cross-market history is adding a $2.9k Yes position at 90¢ on a political market.
- This bettor has a long profitable record: 67% wins and +$220k lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $690k placed across 131 events.
- Buying at 90¢ shows they are backing Choo as a heavy favorite, after the market moved up 7 points this week.
$2,880 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 15516539, $289,672
- 0x8d5b...a718 — Outcome 15516539, $29,444 (60% win rate)
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 15516539, $16,505 (75% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 15516539, $9,239
- 0x398d...c7c3 — Outcome 15516539, $8,525 (77% win rate)
- 0xa509...324e — Outcome 15516539, $7,061
- 0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 15516539, $4,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x01da...ea89 — Outcome 15516539, $4,000
- 0xaa9a...de87 — Outcome 15516539, $3,820
- 0xe40c...d6b4 — Outcome 15516539, $2,808
Related Theses
Fujimori or Sánchez wins presidency
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Neither Chong nor Oh wins
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SpaceX IPO pricing volatile
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Choo wins Daegu mayor race
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LeBron retires before 2026-27
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