Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,822.

Categories: Music, Eurovision, Awards, Culture

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor buying NO

A profitable wallet with a strong 75% hit rate and +36% edge made a large No bet that took 71% of this market’s 24h volume, suggesting real conviction in a relatively thin market.

  • This bettor wins 75% of their trades and has made about $37.6k profit across 65 resolved bets
  • Their $1.8k buy was 71% of this market’s 24-hour volume, showing conviction in a thinner market
  • They are also betting across related Eurovision markets, which suggests a broader event view rather than a random single trade

$1,822 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa477...c9c2 Yes, $3,389
  2. 0x6db9...4ab5 No, $3,333 (75% win rate)
  3. 0x1aee...c139 No, $3,131 (46% win rate)
  4. 0x772c...0151 Yes, $2,965 (0% win rate)
  5. 0x9f3a...3b17 No, $1,200
  6. 0x16cb...2704 No, $900 (79% win rate)
  7. 0x6f6f...b20f Yes, $839
  8. 0x03ed...c077 No, $817
  9. 0x19b8...be46 Yes, $789
  10. 0xb886...81b3 Yes, $786

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

16d$1,822 tracked1 signalMusicEurovisionAwardsCulture
Yes
28¢
No
73¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “No
82¢
71¢
60¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

2h ago

$1,822 on No at 72¢

72¢73¢1¢

Related Theses