Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

This Polymarket asks whether the official CME settlement price for the active-month NYMEX WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract will hit $110 or higher on any trading day by June 30, 2026. Current market odds are tracked live on PolySpotter, alongside $1,264 in monitored smart-money activity and a recent signal showing a macro trader fading an oil spike.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,264.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

Macro trader fading oil spike

A profitable high-volume macro trader is expressing a broader crude-oil thesis across 11 related markets, now buying No on $110 by June after a sharp weekly move lower.

  • This wallet is up about $228K lifetime and has traded over $10M across resolved markets.
  • They have built a $139K thesis across 11 related crude-oil markets, not just this one bet.
  • The market has already moved sharply toward No, with Yes down 35.5 percentage points over the past week.

$1,264 on No | Wallet win rate: 43%

Top Holders

  1. 0x72a0...c059 No, $6,871 (50% win rate)
  2. 0xe94b...5abe No, $4,313 (72% win rate)
  3. 0xa8b3...4484 Yes, $3,723 (58% win rate)
  4. 0x86e9...4cdf No, $3,132 (99% win rate)
  5. 0x6ffd...a637 Yes, $2,980
  6. 0x2942...59ab Yes, $2,000 (39% win rate)
  7. 0x1e5a...935f Yes, $2,000 (9% win rate)
  8. 0xe734...4f0c No, $1,949 (43% win rate)
  9. 0xd426...334a No, $1,945 (40% win rate)
  10. 0x7c74...f90e No, $1,710

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

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Crude oil whipsaws violently

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WTI sees extreme May volatility

Covers 15 related markets

Iran peace deadline arbitrage

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

35dWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?$1,264 tracked1 signalCommoditiesHide From NewNYMEX Crude Oil FuturesOil
Yes
34¢
No
67¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Price History — “No
77¢
52¢
28¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

2h ago

$1,264 on No at 65¢

65¢67¢2¢

Related Theses