Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
36 smart money signals detected, totaling $120,894.
Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil
Notable Trades
79% winner betting NO
Sharp profitable wallet with a 79% long-run win rate is buying NO and has $15.5k positioned across related crude oil markets.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $295k lifetime.
- They have $15.5k across 3 related markets, pointing to a broader oil-price thesis.
- Buying NO at 89¢ suggests they see $120 crude by June as unlikely despite recent price firming.
$4,192 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable oil thesis trader
Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% win record is building a cross-market crude oil thesis, effectively buying Yes at 12¢ on $120 oil by June 2026.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $570k lifetime.
- They have traded 9 markets in this same crude oil event, totaling $63k of positioning.
- Selling No at 88¢ is effectively buying Yes at 12¢, a long-shot bet on oil reaching $120.
$1,760 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
93% winner oil thesis
Sharp wallet with a 93% record and positive lifetime P&L is adding to a broader $131k cross-market oil thesis by buying No at 90¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $56k lifetime.
- They have positioned across 5 related crude oil markets with $131k total exposure.
- Buying No at 90¢ signals strong confidence that crude oil will not settle at or above $120 by June 2026.
$2,862 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
81% winner buying NO
Profitable 81% lifetime wallet is buying No as part of a broader five-market crude-oil thesis, despite the individual trade being modest-sized and at favorite odds.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $16.6K lifetime.
- They have placed $22.6K across 5 related crude-oil markets, showing a broader oil-price thesis.
- Buying No at 90¢ means they are backing the view that crude stays below $120 through June 2026.
$1,350 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable oil thesis trader
Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved win rate is building a broad cross-market thesis against extreme crude oil upside, buying No at 87¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $562K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $2.4M placed across 147 related markets.
- This is part of a broader 9-market oil thesis totaling about $50.7K.
$2,610 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable oil specialist
Sharp, profitable cross-market trader with an 82% resolved win rate is adding to a broader oil-event thesis by buying No on $120 crude by June 2026.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $562k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $2.4M traded across 147 related markets.
- This is part of a broader oil thesis: 9 markets and about $51k positioned in the same event.
$2,640 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable serial macro bettor
Sharp, highly profitable wallet with an 82% resolved-bet win rate is adding a No position as part of a large cross-market crude oil thesis.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $562k lifetime.
- They have traded 147 markets across 53 events, with $2.4M total deployed and the same strong win record.
- This is part of a broader 9-market position worth nearly $48k on the same event.
$3,520 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
93% winner oil thesis
Sharp wallet with a 93% resolved-bet win rate is adding to a broader $130k cross-market crude oil thesis by buying No at 87¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $55.9k lifetime.
- They have placed $130k across 5 related crude oil markets, suggesting a broader view rather than a one-off trade.
- Buying No at 87¢ aligns with current market odds and their history of winning mostly high-probability positions.
$1,759 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
95% winner buying long-shot Yes
Sharp wallet with 95% historical win rate is effectively buying Yes on a long-dated crude oil $120 touch market at 14¢.
- This bettor has won 95% of resolved trades, with 227 wins out of 240.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 14¢, a long-shot position on crude oil hitting $120 by June 2026.
- The market is liquid, so the main signal is the bettor’s strong track record rather than unusual market flow.
$1,544 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
82% winner oil thesis
Proven profitable wallet with an 82% resolved win rate is adding to a broad crude-oil thesis, buying No at 86¢ on CL hitting $120 by end of June.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $544k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.4M deployed across 147 related markets.
- This is part of a broader oil-positioning set: 9 markets and $46.9k in the same event.
$1,290 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
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