Part of: Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner

Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,680.

Categories: Canada, Politics, Elections, by election, Main Election, Global Elections

Notable Trades

Whale-sized bet in a quiet market

A $1,680 No bet dominated an almost inactive, thinly traded market and was followed by a sharp move toward No, though the wallet lacks a standout win-rate edge.

A $1,680 bet represented over 100,000% of the market’s $2 in 24-hour volume.
The trader bought No at 42¢, while No has since risen to roughly 72%, with Yes falling 18.5% in one day.
This wallet has traded 54 events and is up $152,763, but its 58% win rate is not independently exceptional.

$1,680 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 49891459, $8,357
0x9648...6825 — Outcome 49891459, $6,854 (70% win rate)
0x4b09...0d6b — Outcome 49891459, $803
0xf5e4...471a — Outcome 49891459, $635
0x2213...492c — Outcome 49891459, $200
0xa917...4e8d — Outcome 49891459, $192
0xe8a2...560e — Outcome 49891459, $120
0xd9fe...db0d — Outcome 49891459, $106
0x4351...9060 — Outcome 49891459, $100
0x3500...07f0 — Outcome 49891459, $98

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Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?

ResolvedChicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner$1,680 tracked1 signalCanadaPoliticsElectionsby electionMain ElectionGlobal Elections

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Chicoutimi—Le Fjord is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).

Price History — “Yes”

102¢

84¢

66¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction