Part of: Goiás Governor Election Winner

Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?

This Polymarket market asks whether Daniel Vilela will win the Goiás gubernatorial election in Brazil. The first round is scheduled for October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25 if needed; the market currently has $10,252 in tracked smart-money activity and one signal.

The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $10,252.

Categories: Politics, Brazil, Global Elections, Elections, Main Election

Notable Trades

Whale-sized bet in thin election market

A large $10.3K bet overwhelms this extremely thin Goiás election market, though the wallet has no demonstrated edge beyond strong directional conviction.

  • A $10,252 purchase was more than 500 times the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The bet consumed a substantial share of available liquidity and helped move Yes from roughly 87% to 92%.
  • This serial trader has placed $228,655 across 60 markets, but its 58% win rate does not establish a proven edge.

$10,252 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb1ca...1705 Yes, $10,742 (55% win rate)
  2. 0x9648...6825 No, $5,252 (70% win rate)
  3. 0xcaab...24dd Yes, $4,414 (79% win rate)
  4. 0xf48a...e256 No, $3,000
  5. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $2,584
  6. 0x0a7a...df1b No, $2,566
  7. 0x1f9e...4f1a No, $500 (44% win rate)
  8. 0xd15d...7832 No, $341
  9. 0x6f67...102c No, $308
  10. 0x3dca...3c13 Yes, $305 (84% win rate)

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Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?

23dGoiás Governor Election Winner$10,252 tracked1 signalPoliticsBrazilGlobal ElectionsElectionsMain Election
Yes
97¢
No
3¢

The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Price History — “Yes
99¢
96¢
94¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?

34d ago

$10,252 on Yes at 89¢

89¢97¢8¢

Related Theses