Part of: Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Donald Trump will make a public statement on May 13, 2026 that personally or professionally insults, mocks, or attacks a real individual. The market resolves after the specified date, with final resolution scheduled for May 31, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $5,362 in smart money activity across 1 signal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,362.

Categories: Trump Daily, Politics, Culture, Trump

Notable Trades

96% serial cross-market sharp

A proven 96% win-rate serial cross-market bettor bought $5.4k of Yes in a relatively small market, making the wallet track record the main signal.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 655 resolved bets and is up $32k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 42 events with $308k recently flagged in related positioning.
  • The $5.4k Yes buy is large versus this market’s $5.8k 24h volume.

$5,362 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4699...e03c Yes, $3,128 (96% win rate)
  2. 0x5874...6b11 No, $2,901
  3. 0x4719...6487 No, $706
  4. 0x6f67...102c No, $698
  5. 0xa65c...32fb Yes, $500
  6. 0xf155...76bd Yes, $227 (33% win rate)
  7. 0x73d2...f9b7 Yes, $200 (75% win rate)
  8. 0xb55e...f285 No, $143
  9. 0x3458...b5a7 Yes, $116 (73% win rate)
  10. 0x3a3a...ee52 No, $115

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?

18dWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?$5,362 tracked1 signalTrump DailyPoliticsCultureTrump
Yes
87¢
No
13¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
93¢
87¢
82¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?

2h ago

$5,362 on Yes at 88¢

88¢87¢1¢

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