Part of: Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Donald Trump will make a public statement on May 13, 2026 that personally or professionally insults, mocks, or attacks a real individual. The market resolves after the specified date, with final resolution scheduled for May 31, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $5,362 in smart money activity across 1 signal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,362.
Categories: Trump Daily, Politics, Culture, Trump
Notable Trades
96% serial cross-market sharp
A proven 96% win-rate serial cross-market bettor bought $5.4k of Yes in a relatively small market, making the wallet track record the main signal.
- This bettor has won 96% of 655 resolved bets and is up $32k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 42 events with $308k recently flagged in related positioning.
- The $5.4k Yes buy is large versus this market’s $5.8k 24h volume.
$5,362 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x4699...e03c — Yes, $3,128 (96% win rate)
- 0x5874...6b11 — No, $2,901
- 0x4719...6487 — No, $706
- 0x6f67...102c — No, $698
- 0xa65c...32fb — Yes, $500
- 0xf155...76bd — Yes, $227 (33% win rate)
- 0x73d2...f9b7 — Yes, $200 (75% win rate)
- 0xb55e...f285 — No, $143
- 0x3458...b5a7 — Yes, $116 (73% win rate)
- 0x3a3a...ee52 — No, $115
Related Theses
Iran keeps airspace open
Covers 1 related market
Como wins on May 10
Covers 1 related market
Mallorca will not win
Covers 1 related market
