Part of: Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,989.
Categories: Trump Daily, Politics, Culture, Trump
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buying Yes
Three wallets, including two highly successful bettors, bought Yes together and pushed the market sharply higher on a high-probability Trump insult market.
- Two bettors in this cluster have very strong records: 95% and 98% wins across 493 resolved trades combined.
- Three wallets bought $6.5K of Yes within 90 seconds, moving the price up about 21 points.
- The best entry was 69¢ and the market is now 96¢, so the edge may already be mostly priced in.
$6,522 on Yes
96% winner buying NO
A highly proven 96% win-rate serial cross-market trader is buying No on a thin Trump insult market, with the position already moving from 90¢ to 93¢.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $34K lifetime across $3.1M invested.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 43 events and 51 markets.
- Entry at 90¢ has already moved to 93¢ in a thin market with only $1.8K liquidity.
$1,466 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0xdacf...3c74 — No, $9,184 (89% win rate)
- 0x2bea...95f4 — No, $1,000
- 0x4eef...3fcb — No, $274 (80% win rate)
- 0x671a...b8f1 — No, $268
- 0xc13b...f908 — No, $242
- 0x0711...f03c — No, $60
- 0xf60f...57a8 — No, $59
- 0x9a94...d5f9 — No, $50
- 0x9cb3...1367 — No, $45
- 0x8a0b...74bd — No, $44
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