What is the Elizabeth Lee AZ-05 Democratic nominee market about?

This market asks whether Elizabeth Lee will win the Democratic Party nomination for Arizona’s 5th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections.

When does the AZ-05 Democratic primary take place?

The Democratic primary for Arizona’s 5th congressional district is scheduled for July 21, 2026. The market is expected to resolve based on the officially announced nominee.

How will this Polymarket market resolve?

It resolves according to the candidate who wins the Democratic nomination for AZ-05, using a consensus of official Democratic sources, including Democrats.org. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, it resolves to “Other.”

Why follow smart money on this market?

Smart money tracking can highlight activity from historically profitable traders. For this market, PolySpotter currently tracks $1,365 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal.

What search terms are relevant for this market?

Common searches include “Elizabeth Lee AZ-05 Polymarket,” “AZ-05 Democratic nominee odds,” and “will Elizabeth Lee win the AZ-05 Democratic primary prediction market.”

Part of: AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?

This prediction market tracks whether Elizabeth Lee will be the Democratic nominee for Arizona’s 5th congressional district in the 2026 U.S. House elections. The primary is scheduled for July 21, 2026, and the market resolves based on official Democratic sources; PolySpotter currently tracks $1,365 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,785.

Categories: US Election, July 21 Primaries, Elections, Politics, Primaries, House Primary, Arizona Primary, primary elections, USA Election

Notable Trades

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to an existing Yes position in a thin niche political primary market with positive price momentum.

This bettor has traded across 46 events and is up about $42.9k lifetime on $1.65M invested.
They are adding to an existing Yes position, increasing exposure at 83¢ while the market has moved to 88¢.
The $1.4k buy is meaningful in a thin market with only $7.4k traded in the last 24 hours.

$1,365 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to an existing Yes position in a thin niche political primary market with positive price momentum.

This bettor has traded across 46 events and is up about $42.9k lifetime on $1.65M invested.
They are adding to an existing Yes position, increasing exposure at 83¢ while the market has moved to 88¢.
The $1.4k buy is meaningful in a thin market with only $7.4k traded in the last 24 hours.

$1,421 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

0x98d0...f14a — Yes, $4,964 (71% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — No, $1,368
0x21ff...0d71 — No, $802
0x7e35...1a6c — No, $697 (46% win rate)
0xc7d0...1f8a — No, $624
0xc602...7fc1 — No, $500 (43% win rate)
0x714f...66d5 — No, $300 (37% win rate)
0xe7fe...24e5 — No, $200
0xf4f8...5bf1 — No, $173 (48% win rate)
0x1ab0...f8c9 — No, $156

Will Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?

1dAZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner$2,785 tracked2 signalsUS ElectionJuly 21 PrimariesElectionsPoliticsPrimariesHouse PrimaryArizona Primaryprimary electionsUSA Election

Yes

91¢

9¢

Yes

91¢

9¢

Price History — “Yes”

95¢

88¢

81¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction