Part of: AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,785.

Categories: US Election, July 21 Primaries, Elections, Politics, Primaries, House Primary, Arizona Primary, primary elections, USA Election

Notable Trades

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to an existing Yes position in a thin niche political primary market with positive price momentum.

This bettor has traded across 46 events and is up about $42.9k lifetime on $1.65M invested.
They are adding to an existing Yes position, increasing exposure at 83¢ while the market has moved to 88¢.
The $1.4k buy is meaningful in a thin market with only $7.4k traded in the last 24 hours.

$1,365 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to an existing Yes position in a thin niche political primary market with positive price momentum.

This bettor has traded across 46 events and is up about $42.9k lifetime on $1.65M invested.
They are adding to an existing Yes position, increasing exposure at 83¢ while the market has moved to 88¢.
The $1.4k buy is meaningful in a thin market with only $7.4k traded in the last 24 hours.

$1,421 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 29099536, $1,593
0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 29099536, $624
0x34cb...7588 — Outcome 29099536, $291
0xe7fe...24e5 — Outcome 29099536, $200
0x0781...c4ff — Outcome 29099536, $169
0x1cfc...2111 — Outcome 29099536, $156
0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 29099536, $100
0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 29099536, $50
0xdd89...4f5d — Outcome 29099536, $50
0x897a...4194 — Outcome 29099536, $29

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Will Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?

ResolvedAZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner$2,785 tracked2 signalsUS ElectionJuly 21 PrimariesElectionsPoliticsPrimariesHouse PrimaryArizona Primaryprimary electionsUSA Election

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Price History — “Yes”

97¢

89¢

82¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction