What is the Elon Musk 100-119 tweets prediction market about?

This market predicts whether Elon Musk will post between 100 and 119 qualifying times on X during the one-week period from May 8 to May 15, 2026. If the final tracked count falls within that range, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.

Which Elon Musk posts count toward the total?

Main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from @elonmusk count toward the total. Replies do not count, except for replies that appear on the main feed and are captured by the tracker. Deleted posts can count if they were available long enough to be recorded.

When does this Polymarket resolve?

The market resolves after the counting window ends on May 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, with the listed resolution date at 16:00 UTC on May 15, 2026.

How can I track smart money on this Elon Musk tweet market?

PolySpotter tracks smart money signals for this market, including whale activity, profitable trader positioning, and alert headlines. Current tracked smart money activity is $1,200 across 1 signal.

Why do traders watch Elon Musk tweet-count markets?

Elon Musk’s posting activity can vary widely around major company, political, or cultural events. Traders use historical posting patterns, current news cycles, and smart money movement to estimate whether his weekly X post count will land in a specific range.

Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Elon Musk will make 100 to 119 qualifying X posts between May 8 at 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. It resolves on May 15, 2026, based on main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from @elonmusk, while replies generally do not count unless captured as main-feed replies by the tracker. PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,200 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including recent 90% winner buying momentum.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,740.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

81% serial event bettor

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 81% resolved win rate is buying Yes despite this being a liquid market and only a modest-sized trade.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades across 1,691 bets and is profitable lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 45 events and 127 markets.
Yes has already moved up 17 points today, and this buy follows the same momentum.

$1,338 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp cluster buying Yes

Three wallets, including a serial cross-market trader with an 81% resolved hit rate and another highly profitable bettor, clustered on Yes amid strong upward price momentum.

A bettor with an 81% resolved hit rate is part of this Yes cluster.
Another wallet in the group is up about $331K lifetime across 928 resolved markets.
The market has already moved strongly toward Yes, up 18.5% today and 52.5% this week.

$4,390 on Yes

81% serial cross-market winner

Serial cross-market trader with an 81% resolved win rate bought Yes at 60% amid strong market momentum, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest bet size.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades across 1,691 bets, with a long history across 126 markets.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $641K flagged across 44 events, suggesting a repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 19 points in the past day, and this entry at 60¢ is already in profit.

$1,812 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

90% winner buying momentum

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, buying into a market with strong recent momentum.

This bettor has won 53 of 59 resolved bets and is up $3,149 lifetime.
They bought Yes at 59¢ after the market moved up 18.6 points in the last day.
Their track record suggests they may have an edge even though this is a smaller $1,200 trade.

$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%