Part of: World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,453.
Categories: 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
Coordinated World Cup surge
Four wallets put $21.5k into England Yes during a 136x volume spike, driving the price from about 55¢ to 75¢ with support from a serial cross-market bettor.
- Four wallets bought $21.5k of Yes in the same direction, mostly around 55¢ before the price jumped to 75¢.
- Market volume spiked 136x versus its normal pace, with Yes up 20 points in a day.
- One involved bettor has traded 94 related markets across 46 events with a 64% win rate and $1.5M in activity.
$21,505 on Yes
83% winner buying YES
Sharp, highly profitable serial cross-market trader is effectively buying England to reach the 2026 World Cup final at 22¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $401k lifetime.
- They are a major serial cross-market trader, with $964k deployed across 276 markets.
- Selling No at 78¢ is effectively buying Yes at 22¢, implying a ~4.5x payout if England reaches the final.
$2,581 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp 83% winner fades England
Sharp profitable wallet with 83% resolved win rate and +$144k P&L is buying No on England reaching the World Cup final.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $144k lifetime.
- They bought No at 78¢, backing England to miss the 2026 World Cup final.
- Their long-term results beat typical market odds by a wide margin.
$1,367 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x9cc8...ddc2 — Outcome 38330908, $25,403
- 0x1324...8e3c — Outcome 38330908, $25,232 (50% win rate)
- 0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 38330908, $15,000 (72% win rate)
- 0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 38330908, $13,918 (67% win rate)
- 0xb723...0065 — Outcome 38330908, $11,483 (50% win rate)
- 0xde7c...c933 — Outcome 38330908, $8,000 (33% win rate)
- 0x3734...57ed — Outcome 38330908, $5,509
- 0x66e2...41b6 — Outcome 38330908, $5,298 (42% win rate)
- 0xec8c...8961 — Outcome 38330908, $5,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xcc03...d5c0 — Outcome 38330908, $4,255 (71% win rate)
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