Part of: Eurovision Winner 2026
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
40 smart money signals detected, totaling $219,784.
Categories: Music, Awards, Culture, rewards 100, 4.5, 100, Eurovision
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor flips bullish
A proven profitable wallet with an 82% resolved-bet win rate exited No exposure on Finland, which converts to a bullish Finland Yes signal, though prior-position profit-taking makes it less clean than a fresh buy.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $48.8k lifetime.
- They traded $14.7k here and have $38.2k across 5 Eurovision-related markets.
- Selling No at 87¢ converts to buying Yes at 13¢, well below the current 23¢ market price.
$14,677 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable Eurovision No cluster
High composite signal from coordinated No buying, cross-market Eurovision positioning, and a profitable 42-bet wallet despite the market moving against the entry so far.
- Five wallets are betting the same way, with $9.4K flowing into No on this market.
- This bettor has won 31 of 42 resolved bets and is up $56.6K lifetime.
- The same wallet is active across 3 related Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader country-level thesis.
$1,777 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
82% winner buying NO
Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% win rate is buying Finland No, backed by one-sided flow, price movement, and cross-market Eurovision positioning.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $48.8K lifetime.
- Five wallets are betting the same way, with $9.4K flowing into No.
- They bought No at 55¢ and it has already moved to 62¢, suggesting the market is following their side.
$2,065 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp wallet joins No cluster
Sharp 82% win-rate wallet bought Finland Eurovision No alongside 8-wallet one-sided flow, with the position already moving sharply in their favor.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $48.8K lifetime.
- Eight wallets bought the same No side for about $42K, and No has already jumped from 60¢ to 74¢.
- The wallet is also active across 5 related Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
$2,571 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
82% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with an 82% resolved win rate and strong positive P&L bought Finland Yes at 50¢ despite only moderate bet size.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $27.7K lifetime.
- Their past wins came at average odds of 48%, suggesting real forecasting edge rather than just betting favorites.
- Entry at 50¢ implies they see Finland as underpriced despite a very liquid market.
$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
85% winner buys NO
Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Finland No despite this being a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $29.7K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $317.7K bet across 115 events.
- Entry at 51¢ suggests they see Finland fading as the better side.
$2,894 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable Eurovision thesis
A profitable 68% bettor is re-entering Finland Yes as part of a broader Eurovision cross-market position, though the trade size is modest in a very liquid market.
- This bettor has won 68% of 114 resolved trades and is up about $20K lifetime.
- They are positioning across 3 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader event thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- They previously traded this market with much larger size and are now re-entering Yes at 45¢.
$1,564 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%
94% winner buys Yes
A highly proven trader with a 94% win rate and $28.4M lifetime profit bought Finland Yes, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $28.4M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $4.3M deployed across 99 markets.
- Entry at 44¢ implies they see meaningful upside from the current Finland price.
$2,759 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable serial Eurovision bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% long-term win rate bought Finland Yes at 46¢ amid a sharp volume spike.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $19.0M lifetime.
- They have traded across 210 events with nearly $10.0M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable research edge.
- Finland saw a 71x volume spike, and this wallet bought Yes at 46¢ despite a recent 1-day dip.
$7,568 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
80% winner flips YES
Sharp wallet with an 80% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Finland Yes despite the alert’s low composite score.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $44K lifetime.
- They bought Finland Yes at 47¢ after closing a small No position, suggesting a fresh change in view.
- The market is liquid, so the main signal is the bettor’s long track record rather than trade size.
$1,397 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10971672, $1,961,728
- 0xc4d1...8ce8 — Outcome 70364657, $350,102 (69% win rate)
- 0x5aa1...d9b7 — Outcome 70364657, $40,628 (31% win rate)
- 0x1289...3985 — Outcome 70364657, $34,146
- 0x94c4...43ca — Outcome 70364657, $32,955 (76% win rate)
- 0xc335...9fae — Outcome 70364657, $29,428
- 0xd5e2...6078 — Outcome 70364657, $25,313
- 0xbcbb...6e96 — Outcome 70364657, $24,000
- 0xc917...c359 — Outcome 70364657, $22,575 (100% win rate)
- 0x0be2...9919 — Outcome 70364657, $21,500
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