Part of: World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,893.
Categories: 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
84% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with an 84% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $5k of France Yes despite a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $12.6k lifetime.
- They put $5,000 on Yes at 56¢, adding conviction to a market already up 23 points this week.
- Entry at 56¢ implies they see France reaching the final as underpriced.
$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
80% winner buying Yes
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought France Yes at 35¢, ahead of a recent move to 38¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $59.8k lifetime.
- They are a serious cross-market trader with $392k deployed across 203 events.
- Bought Yes at 35¢ before the market moved to 38¢, with France up 10.5 points this week.
$8,731 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Proven 79% winner
Surfaced because a highly proven bettor with 79% wins across 1,150 resolved trades bought France Yes despite the alert’s low composite score.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $80.7K lifetime.
- They have a large 1,150-bet track record, beating their average entry odds by about 19 points.
- Buying at 38¢ suggests they see France reaching the final as underpriced.
$1,140 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
98% winner buying NO
Sharp bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and +$32k lifetime P&L bought France No at 63¢ despite a fairly liquid market.
- This bettor has won 91 of 93 resolved positions and is up $32,047 lifetime.
- They bought $1.2K of No at 63¢, betting France misses the 2026 World Cup final.
- Their past wins came at much lower average odds, suggesting a strong record beyond just buying favorites.
$1,169 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%
80% winner buying Yes
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought France Yes at 35¢, ahead of a recent move to 38¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $59.8k lifetime.
- They are a serious cross-market trader with $392k deployed across 203 events.
- Bought Yes at 35¢ before the market moved to 38¢, with France up 10.5 points this week.
$1,800 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
80% winner buying Yes
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought France Yes at 35¢, ahead of a recent move to 38¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $59.8k lifetime.
- They are a serious cross-market trader with $392k deployed across 203 events.
- Bought Yes at 35¢ before the market moved to 38¢, with France up 10.5 points this week.
$4,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
82% winner buying upside
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with an 82% resolved-bet win rate is effectively buying France Yes at 31¢ despite an otherwise modest signal.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $11,040 lifetime.
- They are effectively buying France to reach the final at 31¢, slightly above the current 30% market odds.
- Their past bets beat market-implied odds by about 17%, suggesting a real edge rather than just favorite-picking.
$1,241 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp cross-market bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved-bet win rate is making a coordinated cross-market World Cup thesis by buying France No despite the price moving against them.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $154K lifetime.
- They put $7.8K on France not reaching the final, across a market with only $1.8K in 24h volume.
- This is part of a broader World Cup thesis across 4 related markets totaling $10.9K.
$7,811 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xec3c...5dc4 — Outcome 51277730, $57,774 (53% win rate)
- 0x18b8...c368 — Outcome 51277730, $50,000 (83% win rate)
- 0x1324...8e3c — Outcome 51277730, $26,735 (50% win rate)
- 0x046e...2b1f — Outcome 51277730, $19,871 (100% win rate)
- 0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 51277730, $17,284 (72% win rate)
- 0xfe94...8a3d — Outcome 51277730, $9,199 (41% win rate)
- 0xd614...0fc0 — Outcome 51277730, $8,926 (84% win rate)
- 0x593c...4b27 — Outcome 51277730, $6,200
- 0x85ee...f4df — Outcome 51277730, $6,197 (61% win rate)
- 0x0121...f722 — Outcome 51277730, $5,681 (58% win rate)
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