Part of: Secret Harbour State By-Election Winner

Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,146.

Categories: Politics, Australia, Elections, Global Elections, International Election Props, Secret Harbour

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor buys Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial lifetime profits bought Yes at 60¢ in a political market.

This bettor wins 82% of 237 resolved trades and is up nearly $1.2 million.
The wallet has traded across 76 events and 102 markets, indicating a substantial repeatable track record.
The fresh Yes position was bought at 60¢ and has already moved to 66%, supporting the direction.

$1,085 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor scaling into No

A proven sharp bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial edge added a large No position in an extremely thin market before the price moved from 31% to 50%.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $6,722, while buying at average odds of 41%.
They bought $1,062 of No in a market with only $106 total volume and roughly $2,337 liquidity.
The No price has since risen from 31¢ to about 50¢, reinforcing the timing of the position.

$1,062 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

0x690b...bd2c — Outcome 29744648, $10,000 (94% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 14737810, $9,292
0x2200...0f2d — Outcome 29744648, $4,788 (32% win rate)
0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 29744648, $3,198 (82% win rate)
0xd24b...ef76 — Outcome 29744648, $2,004 (76% win rate)
0x8f0b...eb6d — Outcome 29744648, $1,427 (50% win rate)
0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 29744648, $400
0xb8ad...ff58 — Outcome 29744648, $300
0xcee6...8233 — Outcome 29744648, $254 (76% win rate)
0x5e55...9a76 — Outcome 29744648, $194

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Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?

ResolvedSecret Harbour State By-Election Winner$2,146 tracked2 signalsPoliticsAustraliaElectionsGlobal ElectionsInternational Election PropsSecret Harbour

A by-election for the Western Australia state legislative constituency of Secret Harbour is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Western Australian Electoral Commission (https://www.elections.wa.gov.au/).

Price History — “Yes”

88¢

69¢

51¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction