Part of: Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,585.
Categories: Politics, Elections, US Election, Primaries, primary elections, Senate Primary, Democratic Primary, Maine Primary
Notable Trades
88% win-rate political bettor
A highly profitable serial political trader with an 88% win rate bought NO at 9¢ in a major Maine Senate primary market, making this a credible low-priced contrarian position worth following.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $920k lifetime
- They trade heavily across related political markets — 127 markets across 77 events with the same strong hit rate
- Buying NO at 9¢ means they think Platner’s nomination chances are even lower than the market implies
$2,389 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
Perfect-record political bettor
A serial cross-market trader with a perfect 27-for-27 resolved record bought the favorite at 89¢, making this worth tracking despite the modest size and only one signal.
- This bettor is 27 for 27 on resolved markets and has made about $31.6k profit.
- They have traded across 33 events and more than $1.0M total, so this is not a random one-off bet.
- They bought at 89¢ in a liquid market, signaling confidence the favorite still has a little room to run.
$2,486 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
A serial cross-market trader with a perfect 22-0 resolved record just made a $4.7k buy in a low-activity Maine Senate primary market, suggesting this late-cycle political position is worth tracking despite the rich price.
- This bettor is 22-0 on resolved markets and has traded across 32 markets in 30 events
- The $4.7k buy was more than 2x this market's full 24-hour volume, showing real conviction in a quiet market
- They paid 84¢ for Yes, signaling they see Graham Platner as a very likely nominee even after a 14-point weekly run-up
$4,711 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0xbb04...648c — Outcome 69732267, $299,445
- 0xde7b...5f4b — Outcome 69732267, $150,595 (80% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 69732267, $130,910
- 0x4b79...47e6 — Outcome 69732267, $22,692
- 0xd1d7...71dc — Outcome 51273396, $13,907
- 0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 69732267, $10,000 (49% win rate)
- 0xdaef...54e9 — Outcome 69732267, $9,750 (66% win rate)
- 0xdc03...804c — Outcome 69732267, $7,825 (80% win rate)
- 0x1204...4ba6 — Outcome 69732267, $3,129
- 0xe6fd...8bc3 — Outcome 69732267, $3,104 (54% win rate)
Related Theses
Iran closes airspace mid-May
Covers 4 related markets
US-Iran peace deal coming
Covers 9 related markets
Starmer stays in power
Covers 2 related markets
Iran ceasefire collapses by June
Covers 6 related markets
Uranium handover by June
Covers 2 related markets
Iran deal announced by May
Covers 7 related markets
