Part of: Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

This Polymarket market resolves Yes if Hesai is fully removed from the Section 1260H Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 p.m. ET; otherwise, it resolves No. Live odds are not included in the supplied market data, which reports $22,349 in tracked smart money and a recent three-wallet No surge.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list. A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting. Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries. An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed. A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn. For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal. If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $22,349.

Categories: AI, USA, Tech, list, China, Trump, Alibaba, Big Tech, Military, Geopolitics, AI Regulation, United States

Notable Trades

Three-wallet No surge

Three wallets added $22.3K to No within minutes, driving a 172.9x volume spike in a thin market, despite no clearly proven sharp track records.

  • Three wallets bought No for a combined $22,349 within about 90 seconds.
  • The trades were 76% of recent 24-hour volume and coincided with a 172.9x volume spike.
  • All three wallets were already holding No and added near 78¢; their records do not show a clear proven edge.

$22,349 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0xad53...ef24 — Yes, $304
  2. 0x2b62...438c — Yes, $244
  3. 0x49f2...d7b4 — No, $240 (56% win rate)
  4. 0x7495...7fcf — No, $100 (18% win rate)
  5. 0xd9fe...db0d — No, $91
  6. 0x8494...814a — Yes, $50
  7. 0xc7ec...c9a2 — No, $50
  8. 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $40 (49% win rate)
  9. 0x29ed...a8da — Yes, $20
  10. 0x236e...fe7f — No, $20

Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$22,349 tracked1 signalAIUSATechlistChinaTrumpAlibabaBig TechMilitaryGeopoliticsAI RegulationUnited States
Yes
19¢
No
82¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list. A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting. Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries. An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed. A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn. For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal. If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).

Price History — “No”
86¢
81¢
76¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

2026-10-27 07:53 UTC

$22,349 on No at 78¢

78¢→82¢↑4¢