Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
This Polymarket asks whether Jerome Powell will actually cease serving as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board between May 15 and May 22. The market is about his real departure from the role during that window, not just headlines, resignation announcements, or the scheduled end of his term. It resolves by July 3, 2026, and PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,669 in smart money activity across 1 signal.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,669.
Categories: Jerome Powell, Politics, Fed, Trump, Fed Rates, fire
Notable Trades
9-wallet linked macro cluster
A highly successful wallet from a 9-wallet linked cluster bought Yes on a thin Powell departure market, suggesting coordinated conviction in a market that has already repriced sharply higher over the past week.
- This wallet wins 87% of resolved bets across 428 trades, making it a proven bettor worth tracking
- 9 linked wallets share the same funder and this cluster has been seen before, pointing to coordinated conviction
- The buy landed in a quiet market with only about $808 of 24-hour volume, so a $1.7k order stands out
$1,669 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x9488...d531 — Yes, $1,844 (56% win rate)
- 0xdc8d...84bc — Yes, $1,843 (87% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $1,644
- 0x5ef4...2631 — No, $685
- 0xc319...0e0c — No, $660
- 0x21ff...0d71 — No, $275
- 0x525e...0b73 — Yes, $250
- 0xc8ab...6418 — Yes, $219 (47% win rate)
- 0x49b6...170c — Yes, $208 (61% win rate)
- 0xc602...7fc1 — No, $187 (39% win rate)
