Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?

This Polymarket asks whether Jerome Powell will actually cease serving as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board between May 15 and May 22. The market is about his real departure from the role during that window, not just headlines, resignation announcements, or the scheduled end of his term. It resolves by July 3, 2026, and PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,669 in smart money activity across 1 signal.

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,669.

Categories: Jerome Powell, Politics, Fed, Trump, Fed Rates, fire

Notable Trades

9-wallet linked macro cluster

A highly successful wallet from a 9-wallet linked cluster bought Yes on a thin Powell departure market, suggesting coordinated conviction in a market that has already repriced sharply higher over the past week.

  • This wallet wins 87% of resolved bets across 428 trades, making it a proven bettor worth tracking
  • 9 linked wallets share the same funder and this cluster has been seen before, pointing to coordinated conviction
  • The buy landed in a quiet market with only about $808 of 24-hour volume, so a $1.7k order stands out

$1,669 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9488...d531 Yes, $1,844 (56% win rate)
  2. 0xdc8d...84bc Yes, $1,843 (87% win rate)
  3. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $1,644
  4. 0x5ef4...2631 No, $685
  5. 0xc319...0e0c No, $660
  6. 0x21ff...0d71 No, $275
  7. 0x525e...0b73 Yes, $250
  8. 0xc8ab...6418 Yes, $219 (47% win rate)
  9. 0x49b6...170c Yes, $208 (61% win rate)
  10. 0xc602...7fc1 No, $187 (39% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?

69d$1,669 tracked1 signalJerome PowellPoliticsFedTrumpFed Ratesfire
Yes
80¢
No
20¢

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes
85¢
49¢
12¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?

4h ago

$1,669 on Yes at 50¢

50¢80¢30¢

Related Theses