Part of: FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,851.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, House Primary, Republican Primary, Florida Primary, August 18 Primaries, US Election

Notable Trades

Serial trader scaling into No

A highly active trader added $6,851 to an existing No position in an exceptionally thin market, though their 71% record does not clearly beat their typical 84% entry odds.

This trader has made 1,291 resolved bets across 104 events, giving the position meaningful historical context.
The $6,851 purchase was more than 50 times the market’s $134 in 24-hour volume.
They added to an existing No position near 87¢ as the market sits at roughly 88% No.

$6,851 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 79611022, $6,198
0x8512...e70e — Outcome 79611022, $560
0xe32b...626e — Outcome 79611022, $259
0x367c...da98 — Outcome 79611022, $200
0xd9fe...db0d — Outcome 79611022, $126
0xcdf5...e344 — Outcome 79611022, $100
0xd5d9...a4e5 — Outcome 79611022, $87
0xc133...352a — Outcome 79611022, $80
0x2a96...b382 — Outcome 79611022, $75
0x38e5...95e7 — Outcome 79611022, $71 (75% win rate)

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Cori Bush wins Democratic nomination

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Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

ResolvedFL-19 Republican Primary Winner$6,851 tracked1 signalPoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary electionsHouse PrimaryRepublican PrimaryFlorida PrimaryAugust 18 PrimariesUS Election

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Price History — “Yes”

78¢

44¢

10¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction