Part of: Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?

This prediction market asks whether Karoline Leavitt will leave, resign from, be removed from, or otherwise cease to be part of the Trump administration before 2027. It resolves “Yes” if an announcement of her departure occurs by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter currently tracks $1,398 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal for this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,398.

Categories: Trump, Politics

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought No in a quiet personnel market with a trade equal to 67% of 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 70% of resolved bets and is up $44k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 27 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
  • This No buy was 67% of the market’s 24h volume, and the price has already moved from 69¢ to 74¢.

$1,398 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9e8e...8db8 Outcome 40123528, $4,371 (56% win rate)
  2. 0x5a56...adab Outcome 40123528, $1,964 (69% win rate)
  3. 0xcfb5...7d2d Outcome 40123528, $1,666 (67% win rate)
  4. 0xa76b...8a50 Outcome 40123528, $1,311
  5. 0x0cb1...a76c Outcome 40123528, $1,000 (54% win rate)
  6. 0x355e...a038 Outcome 40123528, $573 (51% win rate)
  7. 0x3069...f8ef Outcome 40123528, $311 (72% win rate)
  8. 0x5960...d692 Outcome 40123528, $200
  9. 0x6dd6...f5f4 Outcome 40123528, $200 (72% win rate)
  10. 0x5c2d...bd52 Outcome 40123528, $160

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Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?

128dWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027?$1,398 tracked1 signalTrumpPolitics

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Price History — “No
83¢
79¢
75¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?

59d ago

$1,398 on No at 69¢

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