Part of: Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
This prediction market asks whether Karoline Leavitt will leave, resign from, be removed from, or otherwise cease to be part of the Trump administration before 2027. It resolves “Yes” if an announcement of her departure occurs by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter currently tracks $1,398 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal for this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,398.
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought No in a quiet personnel market with a trade equal to 67% of 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 70% of resolved bets and is up $44k lifetime.
- They have traded across 27 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- This No buy was 67% of the market’s 24h volume, and the price has already moved from 69¢ to 74¢.
$1,398 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x9e8e...8db8 — Outcome 40123528, $4,371 (56% win rate)
- 0x5a56...adab — Outcome 40123528, $1,964 (69% win rate)
- 0xcfb5...7d2d — Outcome 40123528, $1,666 (67% win rate)
- 0xa76b...8a50 — Outcome 40123528, $1,311
- 0x0cb1...a76c — Outcome 40123528, $1,000 (54% win rate)
- 0x355e...a038 — Outcome 40123528, $573 (51% win rate)
- 0x3069...f8ef — Outcome 40123528, $311 (72% win rate)
- 0x5960...d692 — Outcome 40123528, $200
- 0x6dd6...f5f4 — Outcome 40123528, $200 (72% win rate)
- 0x5c2d...bd52 — Outcome 40123528, $160
Related Theses
Enrichment cap, no dilution or funding
Covers 3 related markets
Claude Fable restored by June
Covers 1 related market
CDU finishes second in Sachsen-Anhalt
Covers 1 related market
Iran won't charge Hormuz fees
Covers 4 related markets
Leavitt stays through 2026
Covers 1 related market
Fed holds rates in July
Covers 1 related market
Mojtaba appears publicly by July
Covers 1 related market
Israel keeps airspace open
Covers 1 related market
Sánchez won’t be Spain’s next PM
Covers 1 related market
France wins 2026 World Cup
Covers 1 related market
