Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
4 signals across 4 markets · $10,539 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether Kash Patel will leave the Trump administration before 2027. Traders are buying Yes or No on a resignation, removal, or other departure being announced by the end of 2026, with PolySpotter currently tracking $1,312 in smart money activity and a recent alert that a proven trader is re-entering Yes.
Markets (4)
- Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?1 signal · $6,317 tracked
- Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?1 signal · $1,511 tracked
- Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?1 signal · $1,398 tracked
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?1 signal · $1,312 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial trader
Surfaced because a highly profitable serial political trader is buying Yes on a relatively quiet market, with a recurring linked-wallet funding pattern adding corroboration.
$1,511Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 9.0 - Elite cross-market winner
Sharp, highly profitable serial cross-market trader made a large Yes buy that was nearly 5x the market's 24h volume.
$6,317Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 8.4 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought No in a quiet personnel market with a trade equal to 67% of 24h volume.
$1,398Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 5.5 - Proven trader re-entering Yes
A proven high-volume political trader with a 70% win rate reopened a Yes position on this market in a relatively quiet window, suggesting fresh conviction despite the already high price.
$1,312Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xde7be6…5f4b$6,317 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x44c1df…ebc1$1,511 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0x1ee9a5…197f$1,398 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0xfd39b5…109d$1,312 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Kash Patel leaves the Trump administration before 2027?
The live Polymarket price reflects the market-implied odds that Kash Patel leaves, resigns, is removed, or otherwise ceases to be part of the Trump administration before the deadline. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity.
What is the smart money doing on this Kash Patel market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,312 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent signal that a proven trader is re-entering the Yes side.
What does “Yes” mean in this prediction market?
Yes means it is announced that Kash Patel will leave the Trump administration, or he otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration, by the end of 2026. An announced resignation or removal can resolve the market to Yes even if the departure takes effect later.
When does this Kash Patel Polymarket resolve?
The market is scheduled around the end of 2026. It resolves Yes if a qualifying departure is announced before the deadline; otherwise it resolves No.