Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
This Polymarket asks whether Kash Patel will leave the Trump administration before January 1, 2027. It resolves to Yes if his resignation, removal, or other departure from the administration is announced or occurs by December 31, 2026, and otherwise resolves to No. PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,312 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent alert that a proven trader re-entered Yes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,312.
Notable Trades
Proven trader re-entering Yes
A proven high-volume political trader with a 70% win rate reopened a Yes position on this market in a relatively quiet window, suggesting fresh conviction despite the already high price.
- This bettor has won 119 of 169 resolved markets and is up $67k on $1.59M traded
- They reopened a fresh Yes position at 81¢ after previously closing out this market, which points to renewed conviction
- Their $1.3k buy was bigger than the market's recent hourly flow and the price has already moved from 81¢ to 84¢
$1,312 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0x8633...a08d — Yes, $7,141 (66% win rate)
- 0x5a56...adab — No, $5,139 (70% win rate)
- 0x5b22...c59c — Yes, $4,000
- 0xfd39...109d — Yes, $3,950 (70% win rate)
- 0xea79...a9cc — No, $3,732 (68% win rate)
- 0xf27d...e6d3 — No, $3,353
- 0x355e...a038 — No, $2,024
- 0x2ffb...67a5 — Yes, $1,588
- 0xb5e2...e599 — No, $1,232
- 0x1718...8cee — Yes, $936
