Part of: Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,249.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Governor Primary, Georgia Primary, Democratic Primary

Notable Trades

85% winner buying high-conviction Yes

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 85% win rate and $1.5M profit bought Yes at 90¢ despite already-high odds.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $1.5M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events, with $218K flagged in similar event positioning.
Buying at 90¢ shows high conviction in an already-favored outcome that has moved up 7 points in the past day.

$1,980 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

85% winner cross-market whale

Highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 85% win rate bought $4.1k of Yes in a relatively quiet Georgia governor primary market.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $1.3M lifetime.
They are a major serial cross-market trader, with $7.5M deployed across 154 markets.
The $4.1k buy was nearly 3x the market’s recent 24h volume, signaling real conviction despite thin activity.

$4,091 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable 78% winner

A profitable 78% winner is making a meaningful buy in a quiet political primary market despite only a weak low-activity signal.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $17.6K lifetime.
The $1.1K buy was 73% of the market’s 24h volume, a sizable move in a quiet race.
Buying at 86¢ shows conviction that Bottoms remains strongly mispriced as the primary favorite.

$1,115 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Perfect-record cross-market bettor

A perfect-record serial cross-market trader bought Yes on a thin political market where their $2.1k bet was over 6x recent 24h volume.

This bettor is 31-for-31 on resolved trades and is up $34.6k lifetime.
They have traded across 36 events with over $1.0M deployed, suggesting a repeatable political-market process.
The $2.1k buy was more than 6x recent 24h volume, entering at 85¢ as the market moved higher.

$2,063 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 78605014, $34,276
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 78605014, $872
0x6291...cc47 — Outcome 78605014, $839
0x4a45...36b5 — Outcome 78605014, $817
0xc127...ee33 — Outcome 78605014, $500
0x62f5...453f — Outcome 78605014, $360
0x9e78...c340 — Outcome 78605014, $300
0x75d1...7a5f — Outcome 78605014, $254
0xbd15...940d — Outcome 78605014, $100
0x91d7...0dfc — Outcome 78605014, $100 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

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Neither Bass nor Pratt wins

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Covers 1 related market

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

ResolvedGeorgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner$9,249 tracked4 signalsPoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary electionsGovernor PrimaryGeorgia PrimaryDemocratic Primary

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.