Part of: Daegu Mayoral Election Winner
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
The Daegu mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $68,240.
Categories: Global Elections, Elections, Main Election, South Korea, Politics
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved-bet record is taking a nearly $6k cross-market position, with the actionable leg favoring No on this candidate despite the market already moving heavily.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $81.7k lifetime.
- They placed nearly $6k across two related election markets, suggesting a broader Daegu mayoral thesis.
- The No entry near 73¢ aligns with the current 72% market view after a sharp 1-day move.
$5,984 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp bettor pivots to No
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved-bet win rate appears to have pivoted into No after major same-day movement in a liquid Daegu mayoral market.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $81.7k lifetime.
- The latest trade was a $2.8k buy on No at 73¢ after the market moved sharply today.
- The signal is mixed because the same wallet bought Yes minutes earlier, but the most recent position favors No.
$7,581 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp wallet hedging race
Sharp profitable wallet qualifies for surfacing, though the same-market buys are partially hedged with net exposure tilted toward Yes.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $81.7k lifetime.
- They put $4.7k on Yes and $1.8k on No, leaving the overall position tilted toward Yes.
- The market has moved sharply today, with Yes up 18.5 points in 24 hours.
$6,505 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Volume surge into Yes
A large event-wide volume surge and sharp price move toward Yes make this Daegu mayoral market worth watching despite the individual trade being modest.
- A sudden 131x volume spike hit this market, with Yes up 44 points over the past day.
- The bettor is buying Yes at 58¢ while the market remains thin, with only about $4k of listed liquidity.
- Related markets in the same event saw nearly $15k of positioning, suggesting broader election-focused flow.
$1,158 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Fresh-wallet Yes cluster
Three wallets bought the same longshot Yes outcome, led by a 1-day-old repeat large bettor with $34.6k in recent flagged activity.
- A 1-day-old wallet has now been flagged 9 times, with $34.6k in large bets.
- Three wallets bought Yes together for $7.1k on a 16¢ political longshot.
- The buy size is meaningful versus $41.7k market liquidity, suggesting concentrated conviction.
$7,057 on Yes
Profitable serial political bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved history is buying No on a niche political election market.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,142 resolved bets, 67% wins, and $231k lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 137 events, suggesting a repeatable political-betting process.
- The trade backs No at 86¢, a high-conviction position against Kim Boo-kyum winning.
$4,730 on No | Wallet win rate: 48%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large track record bought nearly $10k of No, adding conviction to an 86¢ favorite.
- This bettor wins 67% of resolved trades and is up $231k lifetime.
- They have traded across 137 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Nearly $10k went into No at 86¢, a concentrated position on an active political market.
$9,989 on No | Wallet win rate: 48%
Profitable serial political bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader with a 67% win rate and $231k lifetime profit is adding a $5.3k No position in a Korean mayoral market.
- This bettor has won 67% of 1,142 resolved trades and is up $231k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $729k deployed across 137 events.
- They have $18k positioned across 2 related markets in this election event.
$5,259 on No | Wallet win rate: 48%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large $10.3k No position on a niche political market.
- This bettor has won 67% of 1,142 resolved bets and is up $230,928 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $724,157 placed across 137 events.
- They bought $10.3k of No around 86–87¢, reinforcing a high-conviction view against Kim Boo-kyum.
$10,278 on No | Wallet win rate: 48%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader is adding a $5k No position on a niche Korean mayoral market.
- This bettor has won 67% of 1,142 resolved trades and is up about $231k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $719k deployed across 137 events, suggesting a repeatable research process.
- They have $17.9k positioned across two markets in this election event, with this trade buying No at 87¢.
$5,019 on No | Wallet win rate: 48%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $289,672
- 0x653a...bb03 — Yes, $78,942 (72% win rate)
- 0x8d5b...a718 — Yes, $34,088 (60% win rate)
- 0x986b...c480 — Yes, $23,831
- 0x6ac8...b09d — Yes, $18,061 (63% win rate)
- 0x398d...c7c3 — Yes, $14,349 (77% win rate)
- 0x02b4...0ac6 — Yes, $12,598
- 0x34a9...9e88 — Yes, $10,791
- 0x2158...6d47 — Yes, $10,132
- 0x7702...9791 — Yes, $7,508 (64% win rate)
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