Part of: Daegu Mayoral Election Winner
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $68,240.
Categories: Global Elections, Elections, Main Election, South Korea, Politics
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved-bet record is taking a nearly $6k cross-market position, with the actionable leg favoring No on this candidate despite the market already moving heavily.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $81.7k lifetime.
- They placed nearly $6k across two related election markets, suggesting a broader Daegu mayoral thesis.
- The No entry near 73¢ aligns with the current 72% market view after a sharp 1-day move.
$5,984 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettor pivots to No
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved-bet win rate appears to have pivoted into No after major same-day movement in a liquid Daegu mayoral market.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $81.7k lifetime.
- The latest trade was a $2.8k buy on No at 73¢ after the market moved sharply today.
- The signal is mixed because the same wallet bought Yes minutes earlier, but the most recent position favors No.
$7,581 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp wallet hedging race
Sharp profitable wallet qualifies for surfacing, though the same-market buys are partially hedged with net exposure tilted toward Yes.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $81.7k lifetime.
- They put $4.7k on Yes and $1.8k on No, leaving the overall position tilted toward Yes.
- The market has moved sharply today, with Yes up 18.5 points in 24 hours.
$6,505 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Volume surge into Yes
A large event-wide volume surge and sharp price move toward Yes make this Daegu mayoral market worth watching despite the individual trade being modest.
- A sudden 131x volume spike hit this market, with Yes up 44 points over the past day.
- The bettor is buying Yes at 58¢ while the market remains thin, with only about $4k of listed liquidity.
- Related markets in the same event saw nearly $15k of positioning, suggesting broader election-focused flow.
$1,158 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Fresh-wallet Yes cluster
Three wallets bought the same longshot Yes outcome, led by a 1-day-old repeat large bettor with $34.6k in recent flagged activity.
- A 1-day-old wallet has now been flagged 9 times, with $34.6k in large bets.
- Three wallets bought Yes together for $7.1k on a 16¢ political longshot.
- The buy size is meaningful versus $41.7k market liquidity, suggesting concentrated conviction.
$7,057 on Yes
Profitable serial political bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved history is buying No on a niche political election market.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,142 resolved bets, 67% wins, and $231k lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 137 events, suggesting a repeatable political-betting process.
- The trade backs No at 86¢, a high-conviction position against Kim Boo-kyum winning.
$4,730 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large track record bought nearly $10k of No, adding conviction to an 86¢ favorite.
- This bettor wins 67% of resolved trades and is up $231k lifetime.
- They have traded across 137 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Nearly $10k went into No at 86¢, a concentrated position on an active political market.
$9,989 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%
Profitable serial political bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader with a 67% win rate and $231k lifetime profit is adding a $5.3k No position in a Korean mayoral market.
- This bettor has won 67% of 1,142 resolved trades and is up $231k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $729k deployed across 137 events.
- They have $18k positioned across 2 related markets in this election event.
$5,259 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large $10.3k No position on a niche political market.
- This bettor has won 67% of 1,142 resolved bets and is up $230,928 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $724,157 placed across 137 events.
- They bought $10.3k of No around 86–87¢, reinforcing a high-conviction view against Kim Boo-kyum.
$10,278 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader is adding a $5k No position on a niche Korean mayoral market.
- This bettor has won 67% of 1,142 resolved trades and is up about $231k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $719k deployed across 137 events, suggesting a repeatable research process.
- They have $17.9k positioned across two markets in this election event, with this trade buying No at 87¢.
$5,019 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 42909343, $289,672
- 0x653a...bb03 — Outcome 63046359, $78,942 (72% win rate)
- 0x8d5b...a718 — Outcome 63046359, $34,088 (60% win rate)
- 0x986b...c480 — Outcome 63046359, $23,831
- 0x6ac8...b09d — Outcome 63046359, $18,061 (63% win rate)
- 0x398d...c7c3 — Outcome 63046359, $14,349 (77% win rate)
- 0x02b4...0ac6 — Outcome 63046359, $12,598
- 0x34a9...9e88 — Outcome 63046359, $10,791
- 0x2158...6d47 — Outcome 63046359, $10,132
- 0x7702...9791 — Outcome 63046359, $7,508 (64% win rate)
Related Theses
Fujimori or Sánchez wins presidency
Covers 2 related markets
Neither Chong nor Oh wins
Covers 2 related markets
Choo wins Daegu mayor race
Covers 2 related markets
