Part of: NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,351.
Categories: Elections, Politics, Primaries, primary elections, New York Primary, House Primary, Democratic Primary
Notable Trades
54-0 bettor on quiet market
A historically perfect but conservative bettor bought Yes in a quiet political primary market with size far above recent volume.
- This bettor is 54-for-54 on resolved trades and is up $7.3K lifetime.
- The $1.35K buy was nearly 19x this market’s 24-hour volume, signaling conviction in a quiet race.
- They paid 88¢ for Yes, above the current 85¢ odds, implying confidence despite the short-term dip.
$1,351 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $2,187
- 0x120b...ee03 — Yes, $1,537 (100% win rate)
- 0x7e35...1a6c — Yes, $886 (49% win rate)
- 0x28ca...5d19 — Yes, $386 (68% win rate)
- 0x167a...91d5 — No, $284 (62% win rate)
- 0x75d1...7a5f — Yes, $201
- 0x21ff...0d71 — No, $200
- 0x6f67...102c — No, $165
- 0xce4d...d0e2 — Yes, $148
- 0xe372...eb38 — Yes, $139
