Part of: South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
This prediction market tracks whether Lindsey Graham will be the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in South Carolina after the 2026 GOP primary. It resolves based on the first official results announced by the South Carolina Republican Party, with credible reporting allowed if there is overwhelming consensus, and is scheduled to resolve by July 31, 2026. PolySpotter is currently tracking $3,000 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent repeat bettor backing Yes.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,000.
Categories: Elections, Politics, US Election, Primaries, primary elections, Senate Primary, South Carolina Primary, Republican Primary
Notable Trades
New repeat bettor backs Yes
A 22-day-old repeat large bettor put $3k on Yes in a very quiet political primary market, making a bet over 23x the prior 24h volume.
- This 22-day-old wallet has now made five flagged large bets totaling $8.6k and is already up $1.4k.
- The $3k buy was about 24x the market’s entire 24h volume, a strong conviction signal in a quiet market.
- Buying Yes at 87¢ leaves limited upside, so the bettor appears confident Graham remains the nominee.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 32868332, $13,330
- 0x8532...738b — Outcome 32868332, $2,000 (48% win rate)
- 0xbc17...289a — Outcome 32868332, $1,110
- 0x6f2c...e130 — Outcome 32868332, $1,075
- 0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 32868332, $1,000
- 0x3879...d8c3 — Outcome 32868332, $1,000
- 0xe77e...bb3d — Outcome 32868332, $825
- 0x75d1...7a5f — Outcome 32868332, $761
- 0x50bc...78c2 — Outcome 32868332, $550
- 0x1e66...41e7 — Outcome 32868332, $527
Related Theses
Peace deal lands mid-June
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Starmer survives through June 2026
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