What are the odds that Lorenia Valles Sampedro will win the 2027 Sonora governor election?

The live prediction market odds are displayed on the PolySpotter market page and may change as traders update their positions and new information emerges.

When is the Sonora governor election?

The 2027 Sonora gubernatorial election is currently scheduled for June 6, 2027.

How will this Sonora election prediction market resolve?

The market will resolve to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial election, based on a consensus of credible reporting. An interim or caretaker governor does not qualify.

What happens if the election result is unclear?

If the result is not definitively known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

Where can I follow Lorenia Valles Sampedro prediction market updates?

PolySpotter tracks market activity, smart-money signals, and alerts related to the Polymarket prediction market for the 2027 Sonora governor election.

Part of: Sonora Governor Election Winner

Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?

This prediction market tracks whether Lorenia Valles Sampedro will win the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial election. The election is scheduled for June 6, 2027, and the market resolves according to credible reporting on the listed winner; if no definitive result is known by December 31, 2027, it resolves to “Other.”

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,184.

Categories: Mexico, Politics, Elections, Main Election, Global Elections

Notable Trades

Serial bettor with 78% win rate

A proven serial cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate exited No, implying a bullish Yes position, though the prior closed position makes this less clearly fresh conviction.

This bettor has won 78% of 983 resolved trades and earned $48,720 in P&L.
The wallet actively trades across 27 events and 42 markets, suggesting a repeatable event-trading process.
The No sale implies buying Yes around 42¢, but the previously closed No position means this may be position management rather than a new bet.

$1,184 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%