Part of: Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

This combined 2026 election market asks whether Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva wins Brazil’s presidential election, Gadi Eizenkot becomes Israel’s prime minister, and Democrats win the US Senate—all three conditions must match for the listed outcome to resolve Yes. The elections are scheduled for October 25, October 27, and November 3, respectively; the market resolves by November 5, 2026. Current odds were not included in the supplied metadata.

The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,600.

Categories: Brazil, Israel, Senate, Midterms, Politics, Elections, netanyahu, 2026 Midterms, United States

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor adds to Yes

A profitable bettor with 143 resolved positions and positive P&L is adding to an existing Yes position in a thin, wide-spread market.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 143 resolved trades and is up $41,349 overall.
  • They added $1,600 to an existing Yes position at 48¢; the market has a 13-point spread and only about $9,200 in liquidity.

$1,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $10,550
  2. 0x7e35...1a6c — Yes, $6,489 (45% win rate)
  3. 0x1380...7325 — Yes, $5,804 (68% win rate)
  4. 0x7883...66b2 — No, $2,607
  5. 0x4a2b...af20 — Yes, $2,000 (59% win rate)
  6. 0x122c...fbed — No, $1,723 (67% win rate)
  7. 0x8de0...7f22 — Yes, $1,586
  8. 0xc7d0...1f8a — No, $1,072
  9. 0x0562...9d66 — Yes, $1,000 (40% win rate)
  10. 0xd950...ad1b — No, $928 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Eizenkot and Democrats win elections

Covers 2 related markets

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate$1,600 tracked1 signalBrazilIsraelSenateMidtermsPoliticsElectionsnetanyahu2026 MidtermsUnited States
Yes
51¢
No
49¢

The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.

Price History — “Yes”
52¢
33¢
14¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

2026-10-26 00:00 UTC

$1,600 on Yes at 48¢

48¢→51¢↑3¢

Related Theses