Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
8 signals across 2 markets · $32,547 tracked · resolves Nov 4, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks a combined 2026 election outcome: Flávio Bolsonaro winning Brazil’s presidency, Gadi Eizenkot becoming Israel’s prime minister, and Democrats winning the US Senate. The market trades whether all three outcomes occur together, with a recent alert reporting that a profitable serial trader added to Yes.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Linked wallets adding to No positions
Three wallets linked through a shared funder placed about $10,076 in aligned No trades, with two adding to substantial existing No positions.
$10,076Score: 10.0 - Seven-wallet funded cluster
Seven wallets linked by a common funder are positioned on Yes, with additional context from a high-volume cross-market trader, though the total stake is modest relative to market liquidity.
$1,814Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.7 - Profitable bettor adds to Yes
A profitable bettor with 143 resolved positions and positive P&L is adding to an existing Yes position in a thin, wide-spread market.
$1,600Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 3.5 - Profitable serial trader adds to Yes
A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader added nearly $9,750 to an existing Yes position in a quiet market, though the signals do not establish a clear win-rate edge.
$9,745Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 3.5 - Serial trader adding to large No position
A serial cross-market trader with a positive lifetime P&L added to an existing $51.6K No position, though the new trade itself is modest relative to the market and wallet history.
$3,006Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 3.4 - Serial trader adding to large No position
A serial cross-market trader with a positive lifetime P&L added to an existing $51.6K No position, though the new trade itself is modest relative to the market and wallet history.
$1,325Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 3.0 - Serial trader adding to large No position
A serial cross-market trader with a positive lifetime P&L added to an existing $51.6K No position, though the new trade itself is modest relative to the market and wallet history.
$3,358Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 3.0 - Profitable serial trader adds to Yes
A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader added nearly $9,750 to an existing Yes position in a quiet market, though the signals do not establish a clear win-rate edge.
$1,622Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x614dc8…1546$11,368 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 66% wins
- 0x805a92…0635$7,688 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 59% wins
- 0xe23495…304a$1,814 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0xd49ba9…abff$1,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
FAQs
What outcome is this Polymarket event tracking?
It tracks whether Flávio Bolsonaro wins Brazil’s presidential election, Gadi Eizenkot becomes Israel’s prime minister, and Democrats win the US Senate—all three outcomes together.
What are the odds on the Brazil-Israel-US Senate combo?
Check the live market price on this page for the latest odds. The available event data does not specify a current probability.
What is smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter reports one recent signal: a profitable serial trader added to Yes. This indicates a position change, not a guarantee of the outcome.
When does this market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026, after the Brazilian, Israeli, and US elections.