Part of: María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,121.

Categories: Trump-Machado, Politics, Trump, Venezuela

Notable Trades

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

A linked 4-wallet cluster sold No at the same second for nearly $18k, which converts to a coordinated buy of Yes around 61¢ in a market where their flow was over half of the day’s volume.

  • Four wallets acted within seconds with nearly $18k total, and three share the same funder.
  • Their trades made up about 51% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing concentrated conviction.
  • These sells of No at 39¢ are equivalent to buying Yes around 61¢, near the current ask.

$17,884 on Yes

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

Three wallets, including two linked by funding, piled $31k into NO within seconds on a modest-liquidity Venezuela political market during a 780x volume spike, signaling coordinated conviction worth watching.

  • Three wallets bought the same side within 2 seconds, putting $31k into NO, and two wallets share a funder.
  • Their combined size was over 4 times the market's 24-hour volume and larger than the market's listed liquidity.
  • This is a political event market with a 780x volume spike, suggesting fast coordinated positioning rather than routine flow.

$31,237 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x9648...6825 Outcome 52054255, $20,950 (70% win rate)
  2. 0xe738...df65 Outcome 52054255, $16,553 (68% win rate)
  3. 0xde1b...ccc9 Outcome 52054255, $6,437
  4. 0x0c91...9028 Outcome 52054255, $3,002
  5. 0xb675...3d65 Outcome 52054255, $2,365
  6. 0xb8ee...9e81 Outcome 52054255, $2,055 (60% win rate)
  7. 0x3269...1e7c Outcome 52054255, $1,680 (43% win rate)
  8. 0x343c...29d0 Outcome 52054255, $1,667 (33% win rate)
  9. 0x6139...6b7a Outcome 52054255, $1,510 (71% win rate)
  10. 0x83e8...7b89 Outcome 52054255, $1,389 (55% win rate)

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

ResolvedMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?$49,121 tracked2 signalsTrump-MachadoPoliticsTrumpVenezuela

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

42d ago

$17,884 on Yes at 61¢

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

45d ago

$31,237 on No at 82¢