Part of: Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

This prediction market asks whether Matt Claman will finish in the top four in Alaska’s non-partisan 2026 Governor primary and advance to the general election. The primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026, and the market resolves Yes if Claman advances, or No if he does not or if no primary takes place. PolySpotter is tracking $5,693 in smart money activity, including 1 signal from a profitable serial political bettor.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,693.

Categories: Politics, Primaries, Elections, August 18 Primaries, US Election

Notable Trades

Profitable serial political bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader made a large No bet that dominated recent volume in a thin, wide-spread Alaska governor primary market.

  • This bettor is up $140K lifetime across 295 resolved markets.
  • They put $5.7K on No, equal to 76% of this market’s 24h volume.
  • The market is thin with a wide spread, and recent price movement has already been against Yes.

$5,693 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc8b9...b836 No, $7,465 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x7a61...af24 Yes, $3,011
  3. 0x45b2...cbc1 Yes, $1,998 (15% win rate)
  4. 0x2bef...3afd Yes, $1,670
  5. 0x7447...4657 Yes, $1,057
  6. 0x6b0e...e3ea Yes, $1,042
  7. 0x033f...618e No, $892 (77% win rate)
  8. 0x7495...7fcf Yes, $800
  9. 0x831a...d532 Yes, $753
  10. 0xa667...ceb3 No, $350

Related Theses

Conservative wins Peru presidency

Covers 4 related markets

Weiser wins Colorado Democratic primary

Covers 1 related market

Claman fails to advance

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Feenstra wins Iowa GOP primary

Covers 2 related markets

Hilton and Steyer both fail

Covers 2 related markets

Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

46dWho will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?$5,693 tracked1 signalPoliticsPrimariesElectionsAugust 18 PrimariesUS Election
Yes
10¢
No
91¢

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Price History — “No
91¢
73¢
55¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

4d ago

$5,693 on No at 85¢

85¢91¢6¢

Related Theses