Event

"Michael" 3rd Weekend Box Office

1 signal across 1 market · $7,410 tracked · resolves May 11, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks the domestic weekend box office performance for “Michael,” with traders pricing whether the film can beat the key $38 million threshold. PolySpotter has tracked $7,410 in smart money activity across the event, including a recent 3-wallet Yes momentum signal.

Markets (1)

  1. Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?1 signal · $7,410 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 3-wallet Yes momentum

    Three profitable wallets bought $7.4K of Yes and pushed a thin box-office market up 27 points, showing coordinated momentum worth tracking.

    $7,410Score: 7.8

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds for Michael’s weekend box office?

The market is focused on whether “Michael” will gross more than $38 million domestically for the relevant weekend box office period. PolySpotter tracks the live odds, trading activity, and smart money signals as the market updates.

What is smart money doing on the Michael box office market?

PolySpotter has tracked $7,410 in smart money activity for this event. The latest alert showed 3-wallet Yes momentum, suggesting multiple tracked wallets were buying or positioning toward the over-$38M outcome.

When does the Michael box office market resolve?

The event is expected to resolve after final domestic 3-day weekend box office figures for May 8–May 10 are available, with resolution listed for May 11, 2026. Final figures from The Numbers are used rather than studio estimates.

What source determines the final box office result?

Resolution is based on the “Daily Box Office Performance” figures on the Box Office tab of the movie’s page on The Numbers. Once the final 3-day domestic weekend total is posted, the market can resolve.