Part of: Farrer By-Election Winner

Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,968.

Categories: Politics, Global Elections, Australia, Elections, by election, Farrer

Notable Trades

New wallet political whale

A 17-hour-old wallet made a nearly $4k buy in a thin political market, overwhelming recent volume and suggesting high-conviction positioning worth watching despite no track record yet.

  • A 17-hour-old wallet put nearly $4,000 into one side of this market on just its third position
  • This single trade was about 58x the market's prior 24-hour volume and hit a very wide order book
  • The bet came in a political market that had already been moving fast, with odds up 17.5 points in a day

$3,968 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 89120985, $19,663
  2. 0xdb49...340b — Outcome 77028042, $5,042
  3. 0x9013...fc71 — Outcome 77028042, $2,692 (75% win rate)
  4. 0x5462...eed6 — Outcome 89120985, $2,229 (40% win rate)
  5. 0x6cfa...855c — Outcome 77028042, $1,899
  6. 0x2b9d...74f5 — Outcome 77028042, $1,311
  7. 0x04dc...2387 — Outcome 77028042, $849 (45% win rate)
  8. 0x97a5...c111 — Outcome 77028042, $397
  9. 0x5446...18f6 — Outcome 77028042, $384
  10. 0xb455...d61c — Outcome 77028042, $271

Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?

ResolvedFarrer By-Election Winner$3,968 tracked1 signalPoliticsGlobal ElectionsAustraliaElectionsby electionFarrer

A by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives is expected to take place on May 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Australian Government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).

Notable Trades

Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?

45d ago

$3,968 on Yes at 79¢