Part of: Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,799.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Oklahoma Primary, Republican Primary, Governor Primary, June 16 Primaries, US Election, August 25 Primaries

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Yes conviction cluster

Three wallets committed nearly $15,000 to Yes during an extreme volume spike, led by a profitable bettor, though two participants are only modestly proven and already held positions.

Three wallets bought Yes for $14,819, equal to more than the market’s $9,637 liquidity.
The trades arrived during a 295x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually concentrated attention on Mazzei.
The largest buyer has a 65% win rate across 377 resolved bets and is up $224,000 lifetime.

$14,819 on Yes

Serial political bettor hedging

A highly active political bettor with a 70% record and positive lifetime P&L is trading this thin Oklahoma primary market, but the mixed Yes/No exposure makes the signal more of a watchlist item than a clean copy.

This bettor has won 70% of 1,055 resolved trades and is up about $52.8K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 35 events and 52 markets.
The market is relatively thin, and Mazzei’s Yes price is up nearly 10 points in the past day.

$2,980 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 91951108, $52,816
0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 91951108, $18,749 (73% win rate)
0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 91951108, $10,177 (71% win rate)
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 91951108, $6,102
0xe32b...626e — Outcome 91951108, $2,901
0x5533...51ba — Outcome 91951108, $1,986
0xa5e3...4d7e — Outcome 91951108, $595 (19% win rate)
0x66e7...8bcd — Outcome 91951108, $374
0x57c5...07aa — Outcome 91951108, $343 (66% win rate)
0x9b62...0113 — Outcome 91951108, $272

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Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

ResolvedOklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner$17,799 tracked2 signalsPoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary electionsOklahoma PrimaryRepublican PrimaryGovernor PrimaryJune 16 PrimariesUS ElectionAugust 25 Primaries

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Price History — “Yes”

81¢

67¢

53¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction