Part of: Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,799.
Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Oklahoma Primary, Republican Primary, Governor Primary, June 16 Primaries, US Election, August 25 Primaries
Notable Trades
Three-wallet Yes conviction cluster
Three wallets committed nearly $15,000 to Yes during an extreme volume spike, led by a profitable bettor, though two participants are only modestly proven and already held positions.
- Three wallets bought Yes for $14,819, equal to more than the market’s $9,637 liquidity.
- The trades arrived during a 295x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually concentrated attention on Mazzei.
- The largest buyer has a 65% win rate across 377 resolved bets and is up $224,000 lifetime.
$14,819 on Yes
Serial political bettor hedging
A highly active political bettor with a 70% record and positive lifetime P&L is trading this thin Oklahoma primary market, but the mixed Yes/No exposure makes the signal more of a watchlist item than a clean copy.
- This bettor has won 70% of 1,055 resolved trades and is up about $52.8K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 35 events and 52 markets.
- The market is relatively thin, and Mazzei’s Yes price is up nearly 10 points in the past day.
$2,980 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
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