Part of: World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,495.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup, world cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
Sharp wallet fades Yes
Sharp wallet with an 89% resolved-bet win rate is exiting Netherlands Yes across a correlated World Cup position, implying a No lean at 41¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $13.9K lifetime.
- They sold Yes after previously entering at 64¢, suggesting they no longer like Netherlands at current odds.
- The equivalent copy is buying No at 41¢, a contrarian stance against the market’s 60% Yes price.
$1,184 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
82% winner fading Yes
Sharp 82% lifetime winner is reducing Netherlands exposure while trading heavily across related World Cup markets.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $79.6K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $519K staked across 217 events.
- This sell converts to buying No at 38¢, though it appears to be an exit from a prior Yes position rather than a fresh full-size No bet.
$1,825 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
87% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with an 87% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes at 64¢ on a market already moving upward.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $2,890 lifetime.
- Their past bets beat market odds by 34 percentage points on average, a strong copy-trade signal.
- They bought Yes at 64¢ while the market is up 13 points this week.
$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor added a meaningful Yes position in a relatively thin World Cup market.
- This bettor has won 63% of 122 resolved bets and is up $51k lifetime.
- They are a heavy cross-market trader, with $363k bet across 106 markets.
- The $1.3k buy was large for this quiet market, exceeding recent 24h volume in the alert window.
$1,315 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor added a meaningful Yes position in a relatively thin World Cup market.
- This bettor has won 63% of 122 resolved bets and is up $51k lifetime.
- They are a heavy cross-market trader, with $363k bet across 106 markets.
- The $1.3k buy was large for this quiet market, exceeding recent 24h volume in the alert window.
$1,261 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Yes in a relatively quiet World Cup futures market, with the trade large versus market activity.
- This bettor has won 65% of 565 resolved bets and is up $68.8k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 42 events, suggesting this is part of a broader sports thesis.
- The $1.7k buy is meaningful in a market with only $6.5k total volume and $9.4k liquidity.
$1,710 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0x3ae4...0168 — Outcome 37557394, $3,978
- 0x0121...f722 — Outcome 37557394, $2,818 (58% win rate)
- 0x08cd...f35f — Outcome 37557394, $2,718 (87% win rate)
- 0x98d9...65c9 — Outcome 37557394, $2,694
- 0x9ab3...f88e — Outcome 37557394, $2,124 (64% win rate)
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 37557394, $1,627
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 37557394, $1,602 (71% win rate)
- 0xaa6b...8189 — Outcome 37557394, $1,492
- 0x04e6...3914 — Outcome 37557394, $1,108 (77% win rate)
- 0x1b6c...596b — Outcome 37557394, $1,000 (85% win rate)
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