Part of: Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
This prediction market asks whether New York will use a newly adopted congressional district map for the 2026 U.S. midterm elections. It resolves on November 3, 2026, based on whether a post-2024 map is formally enacted and remains in effect for the election; PolySpotter currently tracks $1,443 in smart money and 1 signal on this market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,443.
Categories: Politics, gerrymander, Midterms, redistrict, Elections
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader is taking the No side in a thin political market with a bet larger than the market’s 24h volume.
- This bettor has 1,319 resolved trades, a 57% win rate, and is up about $835k lifetime.
- Their $1.4k No buy was larger than the market’s entire 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
- They have traded across 100 related events and 142 markets, suggesting this is part of a broader political-market strategy.
$1,443 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%
Top Holders
- 0x44c1...ebc1 — No, $1,468 (57% win rate)
- 0x7495...7fcf — Yes, $943
- 0xa5e3...4d7e — No, $400 (19% win rate)
- 0x2e32...1c37 — Yes, $296
- 0x60fd...89a9 — Yes, $200
- 0xcdbf...1926 — No, $200
- 0xa58d...b9b8 — Yes, $193 (39% win rate)
- 0x7dc9...525e — Yes, $120
- 0x5ce3...f779 — No, $113
- 0x1e98...6345 — Yes, $100
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