Part of: Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,478.

Categories: mayor, Politics, US Election, Elections, Los Angeles, Mayoral Elections, LA, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100, Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Notable Trades

85% win-rate political whale

A highly proven cross-market trader with an 85% win rate and +$1.38M lifetime P&L bought $12.4K of Yes in a political market showing strong recent momentum.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $1.38M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $7.56M deployed across 110 events.
They bought $12.4K of Yes at 37¢ as the market has moved up 15 points this week.

$12,384 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable serial trader fading rally

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is making a meaningful $6k fade of Raman after a sharp weekly rally in a relatively quiet political market.

This bettor has 1,098 resolved trades, wins 67% of them, and is up $274,775 lifetime.
The $6k trade is large for recent activity, equal to about 88% of the market’s 24h volume.
They are fading Yes after a 28% weekly rally, which converts to buying No at 60¢.

$6,003 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable serial election trader

Experienced profitable cross-market trader is fading Raman after a sharp weekly move, though the trade size is modest.

This bettor has 1,098 resolved trades, wins 67% of them, and is up about $275K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 64 events with $1.85M in tracked activity.
This trade is a bet against Raman at 42¢ after her Yes price rose about 30 points this week.

$1,035 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable serial election trader

Profitable high-volume cross-market political trader is taking a No position against Raman after heavy same-event positioning.

This bettor is up $880k lifetime across more than 1,300 resolved markets.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 104 events and $6.8M in tracked event bets.
They have $96k positioned across two markets in this mayoral race and bought Raman No at 55¢.

$2,777 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%

90% winner flips toward Yes

A highly profitable political bettor with a 90% long-term win record is effectively moving toward Yes as the market has surged.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved positions and is up $437K lifetime.
The trade effectively backs Yes at 45¢ after Raman’s odds jumped 32 points this week.
They are also active across related election markets, suggesting a broader LA mayoral thesis.

$1,989 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Raman Yes after a sharp 1-day price move, suggesting a broader LA mayoral thesis despite modest sizing.

This bettor has won 67% of 1,391 resolved bets and is up about $79.8k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 284 events, so this looks like part of a broader election thesis.
Raman Yes has jumped about 10 points in the last day, and this trade added at 30¢.

$1,387 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

90% winner fades rally

A highly profitable bettor with a 90% long-term win rate is buying No on Raman despite recent Yes-side momentum.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $437K lifetime.
They bought No at 82¢ while the Yes price has risen 13 points this week.
They are also active across another market in this same election, suggesting a broader LA mayoral thesis.

$1,349 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

81% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet with an 81% resolved win rate and strong profit record bought $4.2k of No on a political market.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $24k lifetime.
They bought $4.2k of No at 87¢, backing Raman to lose the race.
Their past wins came at much lower average odds, suggesting real edge rather than just betting heavy favorites.

$4,217 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Perfect-record political bettor

A perfect-record serial cross-market trader is buying Raman Yes at 53¢ in a relatively small LA mayoral market with positive momentum.

This bettor is 31-for-31 on resolved bets and up $34.6K lifetime.
They have traded across 37 events with over $1M deployed, suggesting a repeatable research edge.
Entry at 53¢ is below the current 56¢ odds, and the market has moved up 4.5 points this week.

$2,339 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — No, $158,497
0x1c14...0869 — Yes, $41,911 (63% win rate)
0x000d...758e — Yes, $33,304 (85% win rate)
0x7b60...f259 — Yes, $26,700 (56% win rate)
0xde04...fa37 — No, $25,000 (49% win rate)
0x41ea...7a3d — Yes, $24,297 (35% win rate)
0x661d...4dc6 — No, $11,358 (68% win rate)
0x39a5...87f2 — No, $11,227 (81% win rate)
0x3151...4393 — No, $10,569 (81% win rate)
0xc8ab...6418 — No, $10,000 (47% win rate)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

ResolvedLos Angeles Mayoral Election$33,478 tracked9 signalsmayorPoliticsUS ElectionElectionsLos AngelesMayoral ElectionsLARewards 50, 4.5, 100Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Yes

39¢

61¢

Yes

39¢

61¢

Price History — “No”

67¢

63¢

59¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction