Part of: What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
This prediction market asks whether OpenAI will publicly announce a consumer phone by December 31, 2026. A qualifying announcement is enough for the market to resolve Yes, even if the device is not released before the deadline. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,029 in smart money activity, including a recent signal from a 96% winner buying No.
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,029.
Categories: Jony Ive, Tech, Big Tech, OpenAI, sam altman, Business, AI
Notable Trades
96% winner buying No
Sharp wallet override: a 96% lifetime winner with positive P&L bought No despite only a weak low-activity signal.
- This bettor has won 22 of 23 resolved bets and is up $14.6K lifetime.
- The $1.0K No buy was 72% of the market’s 24h volume, a meaningful bet in a quiet market.
- Entry at 81¢ suggests they see No as a relatively safe position through 2026.
$1,029 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x235e...5673 — Yes, $3,000 (41% win rate)
- 0x2d61...1fa7 — No, $1,700 (77% win rate)
- 0x02ea...a39c — No, $1,370
- 0xd8bc...67e2 — No, $1,270 (96% win rate)
- 0xb2ef...90e2 — Yes, $630
- 0x7365...64da — Yes, $588 (51% win rate)
- 0x06b6...eba6 — No, $500 (89% win rate)
- 0x0da4...edde — No, $414
- 0x2e6d...2a0d — No, $376
- 0x21ff...0d71 — No, $278
