Part of: Which company has the best AI model end of April?
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,538.
Categories: Tech, Big Tech, AI, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100, Claude
Notable Trades
Repeat new-wallet whale
A 2-day-old wallet has already fired 12 large-bet alerts and is again buying OpenAI YES into strong momentum, suggesting a repeat high-conviction new entrant worth watching.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already made 12 large bets totaling over $20k, which is unusual for a brand-new account.
- They bought OpenAI YES at 28¢ while the market has jumped 8.4 points in a day and 22.8 points in a week.
- The trade is modest versus market liquidity, but repeated sizing from a fresh wallet suggests growing conviction on the same kind of thesis.
$1,608 on Yes
Repeat new-wallet AI bettor
A 2-day-old wallet has repeatedly deployed meaningful size into markets, and this latest $1.9k buy adds to an aggressive early pattern in a fast-moving AI market.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts with $18.7k flagged total
- The bettor just bought OpenAI Yes at 27¢ while this market is up 22.8 points over the past week
- This is a fresh position in a liquid AI market, suggesting real conviction rather than routine profit-taking
$1,932 on Yes
New whale buying OpenAI
A 2-day-old wallet has already made repeated large bets totaling over $16.8k and just bought OpenAI Yes at 28¢ into a market that has been moving up sharply, suggesting fresh conviction worth watching.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 10 large-bet alerts with $16.8k in flagged volume
- They just bought OpenAI Yes at 28¢, pricing it like a roughly 1-in-4 shot
- The market is already gaining momentum, up 24.2% this week on $189k of 24h volume
$2,004 on Yes
Repeat new-wallet buyer
A 1-day-old wallet has repeatedly made sizable bets across the platform and just bought OpenAI Yes at 20¢, suggesting a new high-conviction trader worth monitoring despite no resolved track record yet.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 9 large-bet alerts totaling about $14.8k
- They just bought OpenAI Yes at 20¢, a price that implies a roughly 5x payout if right
- This is fresh conviction from a brand-new wallet, not routine position management
$1,017 on Yes
93% win-rate AI bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate is taking a sizable position on a liquid AI market, making this a credible thesis bet worth tracking despite only one signal firing.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $107k across 853 settled bets.
- They have traded 332 markets across 216 events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought No at 82¢ on a major AI market, signaling conviction even after the price moved up over the past week.
$4,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
93% winner flips to Yes
A 93% win-rate wallet from a 10-wallet linked cluster flipped into a fresh Yes position at 23¢ on a fast-rising AI market, making this a notable thesis trade despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades across 61 markets and belongs to a 10-wallet linked cluster.
- They opened a fresh Yes position at 23¢ after previously closing a No bet, showing a real thesis change rather than routine profit-taking.
- The market is already up 18% in a day, so this buy lines up with strong momentum on a major AI question.
$1,793 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Fresh wallet keeps firing
A brand-new wallet has repeatedly deployed meaningful size into Polymarket and is now buying OpenAI Yes after an 11-point weekly move, suggesting fresh conviction worth monitoring despite no proven track record yet.
- This wallet is only 11 hours old and has already triggered 8 large-bet alerts totaling $13.8k
- They bought OpenAI Yes at 19¢, a low price that implies they see the market as materially underrating OpenAI
- The market is active and moving higher, with OpenAI up about 11 points over the past week
$2,839 on Yes
Fresh wallet repeating big bets
A 4-hour-old wallet has repeatedly made sizable bets totaling $9.6k and just bought OpenAI Yes at 18¢ into a rising market, which is notable despite lacking a proven track record.
- A 4-hour-old wallet has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts totaling $9.6k
- This trade bought OpenAI Yes at 18¢, a low price that implies a high-upside view
- The market is moving higher fast, up 10.7 points in 1 day and 12.4 points in 1 week
$1,090 on Yes
New whale buying OpenAI
A brand-new wallet is repeatedly buying OpenAI Yes in size, with nearly $10k flagged across six alerts, showing concentrated early conviction in a liquid narrative market.
- This wallet is less than 4 hours old and has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts with about $9.6k in flagged buying
- All 3 trades here were fresh buys on OpenAI Yes at 18¢, showing clear conviction rather than profit-taking
- The market has been moving up fast, with OpenAI Yes up about 10 points in 1 day, so this bettor is leaning into strong momentum
$3,673 on Yes
New whale buying Yes
A brand-new wallet placed two sizable buys totaling $2.6k on a liquid AI market after already being flagged repeatedly for $7.2k of similar activity, suggesting fresh conviction worth monitoring.
- This wallet is less than 4 hours old and has already been flagged 4 times for about $7.2k of betting
- It just bought $2.6k of Yes at 18¢, a concentrated bet that OpenAI is undervalued at current 16-17¢ odds
- The market is active and moving higher, up about 10% in a day, so this bettor is adding into real momentum
$2,583 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 66562596, $650,371
- 0x768c...49c3 — Outcome 15560017, $152,197
- 0x844e...4f41 — Outcome 15560017, $36,531 (48% win rate)
- 0x0042...321e — Outcome 15560017, $32,642 (47% win rate)
- 0xc5f5...e459 — Outcome 15560017, $29,412 (0% win rate)
- 0x89b7...c6c9 — Outcome 15560017, $21,285
- 0xa445...0286 — Outcome 15560017, $20,198
- 0x76f0...09fe — Outcome 15560017, $18,978
- 0x4853...fa56 — Outcome 15560017, $18,820 (83% win rate)
- 0xdd5f...3049 — Outcome 15560017, $15,980
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