This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $63,870 lifetime. They bought No at 89¢ on a thin market with only about $6.5k total volume. This appears to be part of a $3.5k cross-market thesis on the same event.

Part of: OpenAI IPO by...?

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,088.

Categories: Tech, IPOs, Big Tech, AI, Finance, Business, IPO

Notable Trades

78% winner buying No

Surfaced because a long-track-record profitable wallet with a 78% win rate is buying No on a thin OpenAI IPO market as part of a related cross-market position.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $63,870 lifetime.
They bought No at 89¢ on a thin market with only about $6.5k total volume.
This appears to be part of a $3.5k cross-market thesis on the same event.

$1,088 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

0x279c...2b82 — Outcome 27227720, $2,564
0x5efe...5f55 — Outcome 27227720, $2,078
0x250c...2774 — Outcome 27227720, $1,989
0x7577...8fb9 — Outcome 27227720, $1,415
0x8acb...ca13 — Outcome 27227720, $1,000
0x57e1...9a45 — Outcome 27227720, $300
0xb230...e488 — Outcome 27227720, $244
0xf865...6d88 — Outcome 27227720, $223
0x8a98...1b92 — Outcome 27227720, $211 (54% win rate)
0x91af...1ed2 — Outcome 27227720, $204

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Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

ResolvedOpenAI IPO by...?$1,088 tracked1 signalTechIPOsBig TechAIFinanceBusinessIPO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No”

102¢

100¢

98¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction