Part of: Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final

Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,744.

Categories: Eurovision, Music, Culture

Notable Trades

94% winner buying Yes

Sharp high-win-rate wallet bought Poland Yes at 78¢ amid strong Eurovision momentum and has a strong profitable track record.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $47k lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 78¢, below the current 86¢ market price.
  • Poland’s odds have jumped 22.5 points in the past day, supporting the same direction.

$2,744 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4f07...0170 Outcome 11187801, $4,277 (87% win rate)
  2. 0x594e...1c11 Outcome 11187801, $1,500 (76% win rate)
  3. 0x6bcc...f8b2 Outcome 11187801, $1,187
  4. 0x96aa...c145 Outcome 11187801, $1,133
  5. 0xd544...4d5e Outcome 11187801, $769 (77% win rate)
  6. 0x169a...55e4 Outcome 11187801, $611 (57% win rate)
  7. 0xaeed...074b Outcome 11187801, $551 (64% win rate)
  8. 0x6b35...4a36 Outcome 11187801, $345
  9. 0xcca3...4e45 Outcome 11187801, $300
  10. 0x9957...bdcf Outcome 11187801, $245

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Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: First Semi-Final$2,744 tracked1 signalEurovisionMusicCulture

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Notable Trades

Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

50d ago

$2,744 on Yes at 78¢

Related Theses