Part of: Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,744.
Categories: Eurovision, Music, Culture
Notable Trades
94% winner buying Yes
Sharp high-win-rate wallet bought Poland Yes at 78¢ amid strong Eurovision momentum and has a strong profitable track record.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $47k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 78¢, below the current 86¢ market price.
- Poland’s odds have jumped 22.5 points in the past day, supporting the same direction.
$2,744 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x15a6...bf5d — No, $9,999 (45% win rate)
- 0x94c4...43ca — Yes, $8,355 (94% win rate)
- 0x4f07...0170 — No, $4,277 (87% win rate)
- 0x997b...801e — No, $3,725 (40% win rate)
- 0x1368...220f — Yes, $2,449
- 0x6ffb...a834 — Yes, $2,400 (97% win rate)
- 0x0336...4bb0 — Yes, $2,259 (97% win rate)
- 0x594e...1c11 — No, $1,500 (78% win rate)
- 0x4ad6...464c — Yes, $1,496
- 0x1eaa...b550 — Yes, $1,278
Related Theses
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Poland and Portugal advance
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