Part of: Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
Will Raji Rab advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
This prediction market tracks whether Raji Rab will finish in the top two in California’s non-partisan 2026 gubernatorial primary and advance to the general election. The market resolves after the June 2, 2026 primary, or according to the rules if no qualifying primary is held by the end of 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,016 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market, including a recent profitable politics bettor fading a price spike.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,016.
Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries
Notable Trades
Profitable politics bettor fades spike
Profitable high-sample political bettor made a large No buy that exceeded daily market volume on a thin California governor primary market after a major price move.
- This bettor has 445 resolved trades, wins 66%, and is up $2.3k lifetime.
- The $1.0k No buy was larger than the entire 24h volume in a thin market with only $1.7k liquidity.
- They are fading a sharp Yes move of about 51 points, buying No at 82¢ while the current No price is 48¢.
$1,016 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Top Holders
- 0x5529...e5b9 — No, $2,306 (66% win rate)
- 0x7c9e...db3d — Yes, $932
- 0x695c...10a1 — Yes, $682
- 0x215a...254c — Yes, $236
- 0x2bef...3afd — Yes, $100
- 0xad53...ef24 — Yes, $100
- 0x6b0e...e3ea — Yes, $81
- 0x7b98...5cfa — No, $55
- 0xa9a1...c98a — Yes, $50
- 0x9cb3...1367 — Yes, $30
Related Theses
Rab and Grasty fall short
Covers 2 related markets
